Fifa International · resolved market
James Rodríguez: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c0e148c5c9de8173888c7a17260dae985ea426cfbf120ea55980dd755cf7e8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,465
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,465 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 74c | 445.64$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.13 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…59f5backed Yes | 25c | 406.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 608 | 21.9%133 W · 475 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed No | 78c | 318.48$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 67c | 269.34$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.31 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe346…9040backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…72f4backed Yes | 22c | 159.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 78c | 144$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…9294backed Yes | 22c | 104.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 494 | 26.7%132 W · 362 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef9…d3c7backed Yes | 49c | 102$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 77c | 77.97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 78c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb014…a357backed Yes | 22c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…b82bbacked Yes | 26c | 57.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 73c | 44.85$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…bad3backed Yes | 47c | 38.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 75c | 37.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 74c | 35.86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 52c | 20.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- James Rodríguez: 1+ goalsthis page
- Cédric Bakambu: 1+ goalsNo won
- Daniel Muñoz: 1+ goalsYes won
- David Ospina: 3+ savesNo won
- James Rodríguez: 1+ assistsNo won
- James Rodríguez: 2+ assistsNo won
- James Rodríguez: 2+ goalsNo won
- Jefferson Lerma: 2+ shotsNo won
- Jhon Arias: 1+ goalsNo won
- Luis Díaz: 1+ assistsNo won
- Luis Díaz: 1+ goalsNo won
- Luis Díaz: 2+ goalsNo won
- Luis Díaz: 3+ goalsNo won
- Luis Díaz: 3+ shotsYes won
- Luis Suárez: 1+ goalsNo won
- Yoane Wissa: 1+ assistsNo won
- Yoane Wissa: 1+ goalsNo won
- Yoane Wissa: 1+ shotsYes won
- Yoane Wissa: 2+ assistsNo won
- Yoane Wissa: 2+ goalsNo won
- Yoane Wissa: 2+ shotsNo won
- Yoane Wissa: 3+ shotsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.