Fifa International · resolved market
Türkiye vs. United States: Türkiye O/U 4.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb56d204eab4d40302f320e78d032da7f2ce7c5e91811bf251ddaa9b34d927cf5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,581
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 54c | 1,204$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.88 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 50c | 1,027$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.83 | 465 | 50.3%234 W · 231 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fa…546bbacked Over | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 137 | 54.7%75 W · 62 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8136…772cbacked Over | 45c | 629.66$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…cd4ebacked Over | 47c | 617.38$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.65 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 55c | 597.61$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.97 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 55c | 519.14$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.61 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 219 | 57.5%126 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Under | 54c | 427.04$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.44 | 364 | 48.6%177 W · 187 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…5850backed Over | 44c | 415.69$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.9 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Under | 52c | 382.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.19 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 56c | 380.11$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.26 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…9ed6backed Over | 42c | 345.18$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.82 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Over | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 66c | 289.15$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.83 | 374 | 58.8%220 W · 154 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed Over | 49c | 288$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.12 | 241 | 48.1%116 W · 125 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Under | 52c | 249.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 331 | 54.4%180 W · 151 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 55c | 246$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.7 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…cefbbacked Over | 47c | 192.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.71 | 293 | 41%120 W · 173 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 56c | 166.6$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.37 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1298…18f8backed Over | 44c | 165$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 14c | 160.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b0…9178backed Over | 47c | 155.64$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.15 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x518a…71b3backed Over | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 43c | 145.3$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.8 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 47c | 133.33$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.67 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…521fbacked Over | 48c | 117.67$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 46c | 114.6$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.72 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 54c | 87.87$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 53c | 76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.09 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa54a…f771backed Over | 33c | 75.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38c…371ebacked Over | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +14.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Under | 61c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 275 | 54.5%150 W · 125 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 49c | 68.18$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 340 | 56.5%192 W · 148 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x760d…0786backed Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +12.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 54c | 45.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Under | 51c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c8…0d02backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 54c | 36.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 52c | 35.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 32c | 32.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf0…d5abbacked Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Over | 51c | 29.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 452 | 54.6%247 W · 205 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 54c | 27.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 54c | 26.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…378bbacked Over | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b3…e489backed Over | 53c | 20.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd0…1f67backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Türkiye vs. United States: Türkiye O/U 4.5 Cornersthis page
- Türkiye vs. United States: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Türkiye vs. United States: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Türkiye vs. United States: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Türkiye vs. United States: Team to Take First CornerUnited States won
- Türkiye vs. United States: Türkiye O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Türkiye vs. United States: Türkiye O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Türkiye vs. United States: United States O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Türkiye vs. United States: United States O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.