TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Türkiye vs. United States: United States O/U 5.5 Corners

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,091
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,100

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,091 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbd04…a64abacked Under60c994.13$600 inLost-$60010260.8%62 W · 40 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under8c476.41$37 inLost-$36.764,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over42c471$197 inWon+$273.832,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Over40c429.16$171 inWon+$257.8529154%157 W · 134 L+21.1wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over41c378.93$154 inWon+$224.633,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed Under58c281.71$164 inLost-$16426155.2%144 W · 117 L+13.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf67…6842backed Under18c277.78$50 inLost-$5010628.3%30 W · 76 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over41c267.92$109 inWon+$159.363,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd30…c3a0backed Under56c235$132 inLost-$131.61957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6e2…2e0abacked Under63c159.58$100 inLost-$10020451.5%105 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over79c147.33$116 inWon+$31.432,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under33c130.55$42 inLost-$42.462,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Over40c113.39$46 inWon+$67.521,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b81…bf19backed Over70c78.63$55 inWon+$23.6310769.2%74 W · 33 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+6.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over72c58$42 inWon+$16.261,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over40c50$20 inWon+$302,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6216…1bd4backed Over39c50$20 inWon+$30.523741.8%99 W · 138 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd06f…7bfebacked Over64c46.88$30 inWon+$16.885714%8 W · 49 L-6.3wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-58%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under61c42.82$26 inLost-$26.1286452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x760d…0786backed Under57c30$17 inLost-$17.114557.9%84 W · 61 L+12.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe717…0710backed Under57c26.32$15 inLost-$151560%9 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Over41c26.13$11 inWon+$15.331,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ff7…d988backed Over40c25.3$10 inWon+$15.3728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-40.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.