Fifa International · resolved market
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 7.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d1f2a2634687763251a208132aacd0807f2b1b4f64b18bbf401b51c732bedac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,943
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,845
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,943 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 74c | 6,668$4,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 26c | 4,910$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.92 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Under | 2c | 2,202$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.03 | 469 | 39.4%185 W · 284 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9678backed Over | 79c | 1,780$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.79 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 27c | 1,415$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.05 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 22c | 1,318$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.66 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb500…1cdebacked Over | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 174 | 53.4%93 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 20c | 620.79$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.16 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 2c | 602.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 26c | 275.56$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.63 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 25c | 251.13$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.78 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 26c | 205.73$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.03 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 30c | 158.9$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.07 | 324 | 44.1%143 W · 181 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 26c | 157.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 20c | 138.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 26c | 121.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f45…db24backed Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 140 | 54.3%76 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d3…71cfbacked Under | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b9…9772backed Over | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 18c | 77.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…1950backed Over | 73c | 64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 174 | 32.8%57 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd0…1f67backed Over | 73c | 48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91b7…ad02backed Over | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b8…19e4backed Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ad…4e13backed Over | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b91…4ffebacked Over | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Türkiye vs. United States: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Türkiye vs. United States: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Türkiye vs. United States: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Türkiye vs. United States: Team to Take First CornerUnited States won
- Türkiye vs. United States: Türkiye O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Türkiye vs. United States: Türkiye O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Türkiye vs. United States: Türkiye O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Türkiye vs. United States: United States O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Türkiye vs. United States: United States O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.