TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Türkiye vs. United States: United States O/U 4.5 Corners

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,322
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,952

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,322 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8bcf…c767backed Under47c1,144$537 inLost-$537.4511552.2%60 W · 55 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under45c805$362 inLost-$362.256857.4%39 W · 29 L+7.9wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+25.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0e3d…85abbacked Under41c509.68$210 inLost-$210.4436448.6%177 W · 187 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over54c485.22$262 inWon+$223.276551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d36…8f64backed Over54c370.37$200 inWon+$170.379237%34 W · 58 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over55c355.6$197 inWon+$158.753,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Over55c250$138 inWon+$112.532044.1%141 W · 179 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed Over55c248.08$136 inWon+$111.6433154.4%180 W · 151 L+25.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x59a8…eb4ebacked Over53c226.42$120 inWon+$106.4216946.7%79 W · 90 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Under47c226.42$106 inLost-$106.4233555.5%186 W · 149 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over54c216.68$118 inWon+$98.763,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9516…0bcbbacked Over60c166.67$100 inWon+$66.6756240.6%228 W · 334 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6e2…2e0abacked Under47c107.23$50 inLost-$5020451.5%105 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc59…35f7backed Over54c92.59$50 inWon+$42.595747.4%27 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0cb…419fbacked Under46c65$30 inLost-$3013742.3%58 W · 79 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9a2…b3cdbacked Over54c55.56$30 inWon+$25.563351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under46c54.22$25 inLost-$24.713,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over55c43$24 inWon+$19.351,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62cd…7b19backed Over54c37.04$20 inWon+$17.043357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0aa7…8332backed Over55c36.36$20 inWon+$16.363756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5a4…0182backed Over54c35.19$19 inWon+$16.192352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under46c27.78$13 inLost-$12.7846550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Over53c20.92$11 inWon+$9.731,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1406…99c7backed Over54c20.37$11 inWon+$9.37757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.