Fifa International · resolved market
Spain vs. Serbia: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36bd545d6b383337d93065d53c258f7536f626508de6f69b670bfef4b28e9aa5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,089
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,089 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 3,480$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.69 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6116…9c40backed Under | 68c | 949.76$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 46c | 836.52$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.36 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 70c | 825.8$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.96 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 35c | 819.99$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.8 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 34c | 725.31$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 65c | 626$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.65 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Over | 52c | 532.32$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.8 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 45c | 526$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.7 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Over | 47c | 506.34$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Over | 18c | 499.97$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 54c | 399.98$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.99 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5e…9733backed Over | 29c | 382.78$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 58c | 307.59$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.93 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…838fbacked Under | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 72cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a8…2282backed Over | 26c | 298.55$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 48c | 292.63$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.11 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0102…e4d2backed Over | 52c | 264.04$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…0026backed Under | 50c | 222.72$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.36 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Over | 50c | 200.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa2…b8e3backed Under | 55c | 168.07$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.63 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6602…7047backed Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 47c | 160.79$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.81 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 279 | 51.6%144 W · 135 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 21c | 147.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 59c | 146.23$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.28 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over | 50c | 139.54$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.77 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 47c | 137.81$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.77 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 54c | 136.33$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Under | 74c | 131.06$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.86 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0922…d953backed Under | 54c | 120.1$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.08 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc92b…aa18backed Over | 54c | 118.44$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 50c | 100.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 56c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked Under | 45c | 74.69$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.08 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 54c | 72.22$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.22 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 51c | 59.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3590…68f1backed Under | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Over | 61c | 56.18$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa43a…8b10backed Over | 35c | 44.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 45c | 44.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2502…87e5backed Under | 52c | 41.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 45c | 36.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x409a…df2fbacked Under | 58c | 33.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Over | 49c | 29.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 159 | 50.9%81 W · 78 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 55c | 28.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 63c | 28.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…265ebacked Under | 72c | 28.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 45c | 26.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 55c | 23.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…4484backed Under | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain vs. Serbia: O/U 3.5this page
- Spain vs. Serbia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Spain vs. Serbia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Serbia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spain vs. Serbia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Spain (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Spain won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.