Fifa International · resolved market
Spain vs. Serbia: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x655a5efad954519ab375fc6b8729a18dbfd4bbfff3f2d8a348c54471e5ea4f21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,574
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,075
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,574 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 1,762$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.59 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 27c | 1,249$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.53 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Yes | 43c | 516.27$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.37 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 78c | 193.04$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…6ab0backed No | 72c | 180.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.68 | 127 | 63.8%81 W · 46 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 26c | 117.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 76c | 69.3$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 78c | 50.26$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0922…d953backed No | 75c | 36.01$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked No | 76c | 32.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b6…4587backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb3…f4f6backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain vs. Serbia: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spain vs. Serbia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Serbia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spain vs. Serbia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spain vs. Serbia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Spain (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Spain won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.