F1 · resolved market
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 China Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x685d66e415c5997a8c396c7e5d23749cdb54dfcbf6bf9f286ffa814c4d98b3e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $148,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $191,487
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 0c | 26,448$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.31 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes | 48c | 8,486$4,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,425.21 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed No | 1c | 7,219$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 50c | 6,108$3,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,045.83 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 51c | 5,555$2,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,836.01 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 54c | 5,429$2,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,943.77 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed No | 48c | 3,202$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550.38 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 53c | 3,007$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.68 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked No | 58c | 3,000$1,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -67%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed No | 55c | 2,556$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 44c | 2,500$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.7 | 125 | 23.2%29 W · 96 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 1c | 2,176$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 92 | 23.9%22 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Yes | 40c | 2,153$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.97 | 122 | 46.7%57 W · 65 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b52…8a4fbacked No | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…be05backed Yes | 39c | 1,810$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.99 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf86d…ac82backed No | 54c | 1,481$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 65c | 1,206$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.26 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7737…e497backed No | 55c | 1,197$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed No | 54c | 1,005$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.63 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Yes | 47c | 957.54$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 19c | 937.51$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.75 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 51c | 710$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.94 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked No | 30c | 508.4$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.8 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814a…25adbacked Yes | 21c | 507.11$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.12 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa112…d215backed No | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked No | 51c | 499.96$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d22…ec35backed Yes | 46c | 476.52$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.82 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d65…23cebacked Yes | 42c | 471.28$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 32c | 446.73$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.14 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Yes | 47c | 434.63$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.7 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00e2…d56abacked No | 77c | 379.36$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0102…e4d2backed No | 53c | 358.59$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 45c | 327.71$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.16 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa94e…c540backed Yes | 52c | 325$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 50c | 265$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37af…5d17backed Yes | 53c | 240$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Yes | 38c | 235.56$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.17 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a8…5df3backed Yes | 47c | 226.94$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.28 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e17…f00ebacked Yes | 49c | 226.57$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 19c | 224$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.44 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed Yes | 45c | 200.1$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.06 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…7726backed Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51d6…d072backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f8…f705backed No | 55c | 199.91$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Yes | 49c | 197.33$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.64 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 49c | 191$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.41 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 49c | 190$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.9 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x562f…e46fbacked Yes | 48c | 189.77$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8588…de5ebacked No | 49c | 175.91$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.96 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 46c | 166$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.85 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39bb…54b3backed No | 47c | 165.14$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c5…d7d6backed Yes | 76c | 153.79$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd416…df81backed Yes | 50c | 152.8$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 17c | 150.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd713…4662backed No | 37c | 146.91$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.02 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bc…927abacked Yes | 49c | 146.77$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.77 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cd…9973backed Yes | 51c | 146.15$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes | 72c | 125$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65f8…d7aabacked No | 26c | 120$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd52…f190backed Yes | 29c | 118.33$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.52 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed No | 53c | 107.58$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.02 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -54%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Yes | 79c | 102.09$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945f…c89bbacked Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…d499backed No | 53c | 101.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2909…c95cbacked Yes | 49c | 100.06$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…d9c7backed No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2e…0c6abacked Yes | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 20cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…b594backed Yes | 48c | 99.8$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.44 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02fc…0853backed No | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7329…6768backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 49 | 8.2%4 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3639…75e2backed No | 48c | 95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfced…d5dcbacked Yes | 24c | 91.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.17 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed No | 58c | 89.35$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.21 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…c503backed No | 54c | 88.89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0934…f376backed Yes | 25c | 85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…564ebacked Yes | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…3201backed Yes | 49c | 78.59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.08 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 55c | 66.48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4474…2b14backed Yes | 68c | 62.19$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 47c | 61.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f70…6215backed Yes | 66c | 60.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa18e…d05fbacked Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x615f…e162backed Yes | 53c | 56.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x905c…e0d2backed No | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92bd…019dbacked No | 51c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb501…6edbbacked Yes | 54c | 53.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb609…07c0backed Yes | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8b…9255backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +135%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a49…15e6backed No | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f5…dab4backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…f10ebacked Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.27per pick | 64cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x154f…9a12backed No | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 49c | 49.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d73…7bd9backed Yes | 49c | 49.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 33cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…f427backed No | 72c | 45.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Yes | 48c | 43.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 China Grand Prix?this page
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 China Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2025 China Grand Prix?No won
- Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 China Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 China Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 China Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 China Grand Prix?No won
- Will another racer win the 2025 China Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.