F1 · resolved market
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 China Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22c9043008b48fd78000b7850e071b13e6f4a52de2a0f9991764b59d38c9012f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,965
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,965 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 21c | 3,925$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.25 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed No | 79c | 3,554$2,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 28c | 3,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.9 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 71c | 2,972$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.96 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 31c | 2,295$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.76 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed No | 71c | 1,803$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.94 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 66c | 1,781$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.19 | 122 | 46.7%57 W · 65 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86d…ac82backed Yes | 36c | 1,733$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…be05backed Yes | 33c | 1,688$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.77 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 28c | 1,566$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.09 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 68c | 1,563$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.52 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 70c | 1,440$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 32c | 1,280$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.75 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 17c | 1,260$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.47 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 30c | 1,112$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.87 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 31c | 999.99$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.1 | 125 | 23.2%29 W · 96 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Yes | 3c | 884.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 53 | 7.5%4 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked No | 72c | 849.05$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.8 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 60c | 671.55$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.38 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 29c | 652.59$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.25 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -4.9wins | -0.31per pick | 37cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed Yes | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked No | 52c | 499.98$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 22c | 454$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked No | 56c | 418.5$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.51 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d22…ec35backed Yes | 41c | 408.42$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.37 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 29c | 329$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.11 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Yes | 30c | 305.62$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.63 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 25c | 299.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 69c | 282.6$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.7 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 67c | 268.97$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.96 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c01…d612backed Yes | 49c | 265.31$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 65c | 265.25$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.46 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Yes | 51c | 255.78$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.33 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…92c6backed Yes | 28c | 234.66$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.37 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 49c | 220$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.3 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes | 14c | 200$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8949…5e21backed No | 75c | 189.8$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 26c | 178.84$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.66 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed Yes | 42c | 171.43$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 24c | 159.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 92 | 23.9%22 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3700…f766backed Yes | 10c | 155$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab9…3f5fbacked Yes | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0647…8f61backed Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 22c | 134$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f3…f6b1backed Yes | 43c | 122.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.63 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd52…f190backed Yes | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 46c | 119.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.19 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd416…df81backed Yes | 29c | 117.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…d499backed Yes | 48c | 116.81$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Yes | 51c | 114.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 45c | 104$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…f10ebacked No | 71c | 101.51$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.27per pick | 64cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e5…be51backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe10b…5fe3backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ec…2b21backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4354…b65bbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51d6…d072backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ff53backed No | 51c | 99.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 39c | 99.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 23c | 90.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes | 49c | 89.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…c503backed No | 51c | 88$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1457…e1f6backed Yes | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62b4…bb83backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd713…4662backed Yes | 26c | 81.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 26c | 79.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 31c | 77.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbfe…9ee0backed Yes | 25c | 72.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Yes | 34c | 66.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed No | 66c | 58.13$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked No | 49c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 25c | 49.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed Yes | 29c | 41.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…47abbacked Yes | 27c | 40.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 52c | 39.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x615f…e162backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ac…6a55backed No | 60c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Yes | 52c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd64f…cedebacked Yes | 48c | 31.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…7d80backed Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb25…0e5bbacked Yes | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x138e…42b4backed Yes | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f5…dab4backed Yes | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a49…15e6backed No | 72c | 24.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked No | 52c | 23.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a20…81f0backed Yes | 48c | 22.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 China Grand Prix?this page
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 China Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2025 China Grand Prix?No won
- Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 China Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 China Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 China Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 China Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will another racer win the 2025 China Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.