TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$157,585
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$147,388

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,585 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes54c75,879$40,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,972.132718.5%5 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61bf…647ebacked No46c57,625$26,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,125.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2873…ad0abacked Yes45c18,130$8,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,231.7120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed No51c11,215$5,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,503.85133.3%17 W · 34 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed No49c6,526$3,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,335.973444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-26.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes48c5,899$2,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,811.63525.7%9 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-49.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6c0…722ebacked No55c2,863$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288.35955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeec0…34c8backed No75c2,590$1,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.683100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91ed…e60abacked Yes34c2,020$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.564914.3%7 W · 42 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed Yes53c1,900$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.774323.3%10 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb32…b21ebacked No50c1,543$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.731464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No54c1,388$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.837062.9%44 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2cde…5b98backed Yes1c1,251$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.76520%1 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick7cpaid+80.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes37c1,229$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.44918.4%9 W · 40 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e1e…49d9backed No55c1,218$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6cad…ca89backed Yes46c1,203$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.85922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick26cpaid+17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed No51c1,117$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.233360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes60c1,067$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.07917.7%7 W · 84 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-76.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed Yes56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5602441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-27.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed No47c1,000$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-53.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91c7…28ccbacked Yes51c983.52$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e7…12febacked No55c955$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.25666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked No66c950$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.41827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-47.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66df…9811backed Yes30c931.8$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.098118.5%15 W · 66 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-37%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ee1…9801backed No55c837.04$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.693411.8%4 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick22cpaid-80.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf86c…ba99backed Yes49c699.9$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc394…315dbacked Yes26c677.11$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.39616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b1e…e465backed No52c602.49$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.342454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a9d…9de8backed Yes4c583.33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2160%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No55c581.82$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed No49c515.3$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.284065%26 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No53c513.6$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.638756.3%49 W · 38 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f12…5771backed Yes50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-62.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x89df…c5ddbacked No64c438.04$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No55c383.99$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.925341.5%22 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83c8…5d9ebacked Yes66c371.45$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.920%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe239…14eabacked No65c314.95$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.32669.2%18 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+45.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc379…362abacked No64c310$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No52c298.1$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.234035%14 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0102…e4d2backed Yes38c264.48$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003823.7%9 W · 29 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed No55c245.45$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.45887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick63cpaid+37.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked No51c228.28$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.896958%40 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x711d…b0bcbacked No53c219.81$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.37333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-36.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ac3…e05cbacked Yes55c202.82$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadb7…2983backed No55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902035%7 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick28cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked No76c200$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bbb…3bcebacked Yes20c198.05$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes44c190$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.224520%9 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes23c189.5$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.972725.9%7 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-64%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x58ca…0672backed No50c186.79$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.051861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ad9…65d7backed Yes22c176.74$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.69333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x691e…d59dbacked No67c162.98$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5734…f13abacked No63c162.97$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.88475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No64c155.04$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.04742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ef…5289backed No65c154.48$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.482100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No65c154.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.08650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3cd…9ab0backed Yes36c154$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f2e…a9a0backed Yes36c154$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x71a8…b436backed Yes36c145$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes39c144$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.534748.9%23 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cdd…3e97backed No69c140.2$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.18825%2 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-54%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x40d5…acd1backed Yes37c139$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.437529.3%22 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2537…ae89backed Yes36c135$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ad1…58c9backed Yes36c132$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd4a…cce0backed Yes37c128$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb554…3f30backed Yes36c127$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x254e…23dfbacked No65c125.12$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8933…7703backed Yes40c123.8$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aac…75a1backed Yes36c115$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12fb…b892backed No62c113.82$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.062100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7757…d1dbbacked No64c112$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd263…54a7backed No51c111.01$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.761957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6a6…2afbbacked Yes45c110.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick22cpaid+67.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x81f4…c374backed Yes37c107$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes25c104$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.772953.7%11 W · 284 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-73.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed No50c101.16$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.16475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+22.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84dc…9c02backed No63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+101.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8967…22bdbacked No64c94$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes27c93$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8510850%54 W · 54 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe034…36c4backed Yes36c86$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc78f…3ccdbacked No64c86$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba7…084dbacked No64c85$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8be1…4cc9backed No64c85$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x11a8…63f0backed No64c85$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe86…4b4abacked No63c83.28$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x197b…b819backed No64c82$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc135…bd97backed No64c82$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x18ae…7b23backed No64c76$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f8c…7848backed No64c76$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf0d…99d9backed No64c69$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x748b…d39ebacked No64c67.22$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x294d…87d2backed Yes37c65.67$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb96e…f2b9backed No63c64$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7f4…e088backed Yes36c59$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x79f8…17a8backed Yes36c58$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a47…11cebacked No64c55$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d3a…8229backed Yes36c49$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x17e0…e773backed Yes36c49$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7a8…5de3backed No64c47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ce3…ef12backed Yes36c44$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.