Premier League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4852725c8c5ca8c591e98b7e16196ceb26672190eaf3dc95f45ac826e89fcc6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $197,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $200,186
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $197,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa0b…4908backed Yes | 42c | 119,708$49,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,994.46 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked No | 55c | 90,053$49,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,523.73 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 71c | 17,708$12,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,091.54 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 37c | 17,638$6,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,464.14 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 44c | 15,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 71c | 13,800$9,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,010.03 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,399.99 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 55c | 5,629$3,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,560.94 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 68c | 5,547$3,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775.17 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 71c | 5,296$3,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.95 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 56c | 4,219$2,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,856.25 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x98cc…7470backed Yes | 16c | 4,072$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.63 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 54c | 3,626$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,671.16 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 56c | 3,372$1,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.07 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x92c3…f584backed Yes | 27c | 2,746$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 45c | 2,667$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.14 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 56c | 2,600$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 55c | 2,521$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.88 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 45c | 2,223$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed No | 67c | 2,134$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.84 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Yes | 44c | 2,047$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.53 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 49c | 2,022$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 70c | 2,013$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.89 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 43c | 1,975$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.25 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 56c | 1,928$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.8 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked No | 57c | 1,318$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.55 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 48c | 1,251$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.33 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 48c | 1,230$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.52 | 378 | 40.5%153 W · 225 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 54c | 1,002$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 903.39$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.81 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 71c | 800$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 56c | 781.25$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.75 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xaf68…3fdebacked Yes | 43c | 750$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 53c | 718$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.46 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 47c | 642.11$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.94 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb753…f859backed Yes | 44c | 580$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 55c | 535.99$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.43 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f4…60cbbacked Yes | 29c | 491.03$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Yes | 16c | 458$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.43 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 26c | 422.54$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.86 | 200 | 27%54 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 56c | 386.36$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked Yes | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 56c | 307.48$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.29 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked No | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc202…2afdbacked Yes | 27c | 290$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 56c | 286.37$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 38c | 283.5$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed No | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 45c | 266.03$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Yes | 46c | 260.64$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed No | 56c | 254$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.12 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff3e…d6febacked Yes | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 45c | 246$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.7 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9be…27bcbacked Yes | 44c | 230$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 19c | 226.78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes | 44c | 226.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.59 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -15.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…03cdbacked Yes | 46c | 215.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -54%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0102…e4d2backed Yes | 44c | 213.64$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 56c | 210.23$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 56c | 210.22$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked No | 63c | 201$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.89 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 56c | 199.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 44c | 189.39$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.33 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4db0…e467backed Yes | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…1278backed Yes | 44c | 142.05$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d3d0backed No | 56c | 134.16$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes | 24c | 131.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 216 | 56.9%123 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…42d5backed No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 44c | 125$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | -13.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed No | 56c | 123.21$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.21 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc35b…28b6backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dee…a0f4backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…fa31backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 56c | 110.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.83 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb252…7492backed Yes | 15c | 110.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Yes | 45c | 106.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fef…cb54backed Yes | 44c | 103.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 79c | 102$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b83…a4c1backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…2dbcbacked No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 74c | 99.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed No | 61c | 94.62$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 66cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 57c | 89.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 57c | 85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed No | 57c | 74$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…6744backed Yes | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…4195backed Yes | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4b…aba8backed Yes | 45c | 67.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-23?this page
- Will Brentford vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?No won
- Will Brentford win on 2025-08-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.