TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$197,340
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$200,186

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $197,340 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfa0b…4908backed Yes42c119,708$49,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,994.46933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-40.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x61bf…647ebacked No55c90,053$49,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,523.734153.7%22 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed No71c17,708$12,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,091.546860.3%41 W · 27 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+23.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes37c17,638$6,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,464.149242.4%39 W · 53 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes44c15,000$6,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,6009646.9%45 W · 51 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No71c13,800$9,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,010.0379639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No56c10,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,399.9930851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed No55c5,629$3,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,560.945056%28 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed No68c5,547$3,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,775.1720744%91 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No71c5,296$3,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,535.9528355.5%157 W · 126 L+17.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No56c4,219$2,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,856.2528070%196 W · 84 L+49.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+54.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x98cc…7470backed Yes16c4,072$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.632254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed No54c3,626$1,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,671.1610357.3%59 W · 44 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No56c3,372$1,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,484.0713829%40 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x92c3…f584backed Yes27c2,746$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-75.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes45c2,667$1,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,188.1417837.6%67 W · 111 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No56c2,600$1,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,14437054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No55c2,521$1,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,130.8879650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes45c2,223$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020447.1%96 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed No67c2,134$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.845451.9%28 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Yes44c2,047$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.538842%37 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes49c2,022$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007841%32 W · 46 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No70c2,013$1,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.8940046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86032158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes43c1,975$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.2522744.5%101 W · 126 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked No56c1,928$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.822050%110 W · 110 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked No57c1,318$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.553050%15 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes48c1,251$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.336,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes48c1,230$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.5237840.5%153 W · 225 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed No54c1,002$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4665054%27 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No67c903.39$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.814,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No71c800$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23427454%148 W · 126 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No56c781.25$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.7530666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xaf68…3fdebacked Yes43c750$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.540%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No53c718$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.469849%48 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Yes47c642.11$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.947835.9%28 W · 50 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb753…f859backed Yes44c580$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No55c535.99$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.4383459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0f4…60cbbacked Yes29c491.03$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc87…dd68backed Yes16c458$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.435632.1%18 W · 38 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid+2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65a6…3e59backed Yes44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016953.3%90 W · 79 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes26c422.54$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8620027%54 W · 146 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked No55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1802941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No56c386.36$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17017958.1%104 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfcf…a26ebacked Yes45c333.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502030%6 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-46.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No56c307.48$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.2935652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13519336.8%71 W · 122 L-14.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-19.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked No54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1383644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc202…2afdbacked Yes27c290$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.3933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No56c286.37$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12640953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes38c283.5$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10915345.8%70 W · 83 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed No71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.693076.7%23 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes45c266.03$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12022932.3%74 W · 155 L-0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cf3…2b57backed Yes46c260.64$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed No56c254$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.122860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+63.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xff3e…d6febacked Yes44c250$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes45c246$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.742048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9be…27bcbacked Yes44c230$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-54.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007844.9%35 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014156.7%80 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes19c226.78$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8328736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes44c226.34$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.599938.4%38 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012037.5%45 W · 75 L-15.8wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-30.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbf14…03cdbacked Yes46c215.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-54%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0102…e4d2backed Yes44c213.64$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942676.9%20 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No56c210.23$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.517833.7%60 W · 118 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No56c210.22$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.519735.5%70 W · 127 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7740…cbcdbacked No63c201$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.891060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+32.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Yes45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No56c199.99$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8821839.4%86 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Yes44c189.39$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.337732.5%25 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4442755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4129653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4db0…e467backed Yes49c142.86$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x344d…1278backed Yes44c142.05$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.52433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-30.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5555…d3d0backed No56c134.16$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.93944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes24c131.58$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5821656.9%123 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x95de…42d5backed No76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.581747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-34.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes44c125$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5513342.1%56 W · 77 L-13.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed No56c123.21$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.2116955.6%94 W · 75 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc35b…28b6backed Yes44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509537.9%36 W · 59 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dee…a0f4backed Yes44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5060%0 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde74…fa31backed Yes44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No56c110.98$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8321548.8%105 W · 110 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb252…7492backed Yes15c110.47$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f01…4ca2backed Yes45c106.44$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.56851.5%35 W · 33 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fef…cb54backed Yes44c103.33$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed No79c102$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.346251.6%32 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b83…a4c1backed Yes44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked No57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434035%14 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c1…2dbcbacked No55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc71e…f450backed No74c99.99$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.55149%25 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a75…4347backed No61c94.62$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick66cpaid+34.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No57c89.98$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6926247.7%125 W · 137 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97cc…bbbfbacked No57c85$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.555259.6%31 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed No57c74$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8210044%44 W · 56 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11a7…6744backed Yes30c70$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5543…4195backed Yes44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302927.6%8 W · 21 L-4.5wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-41.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7f4b…aba8backed Yes45c67.27$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.271030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.