Premier League · resolved market
Will Brentford win on 2025-08-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5368262e724a68c832255afbfd6d2b8e27acf8af003478e174a4c0c6ce8a3f13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 13c | 3,081$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.82 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed No | 20c | 2,614$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.79 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 30c | 2,550$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 31c | 2,105$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.01 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Yes | 70c | 1,593$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.83 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Yes | 50c | 1,246$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.92 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked No | 71c | 1,088$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.43 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 18c | 836.75$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.28 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf68…3fdebacked No | 52c | 802.75$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.43 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…3386backed Yes | 73c | 742.16$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.38 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 71c | 690$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.9 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 71c | 640.73$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.51 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fef…cb54backed Yes | 67c | 615.1$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 16c | 580$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 61c | 573.77$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.77 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 63 | 27%17 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed No | 44c | 487.96$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.56 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked No | 39c | 482.05$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 80c | 460.57$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.11 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Yes | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…43febacked No | 71c | 422$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.62 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 29c | 413.79$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.79 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…51f4backed No | 38c | 368.67$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 60c | 347.7$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.95 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked No | 47c | 319.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked No | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 29c | 299.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.99 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 57c | 233$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.19 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 57c | 224.28$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.75 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed No | 71c | 211.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | -13.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 53c | 209.33$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.53 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 23c | 194.83$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.47 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fd…582dbacked No | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 16c | 190.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes | 56c | 179.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.63 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2c…e2fdbacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 39c | 160$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.9 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb3…4976backed Yes | 59c | 151.52$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.12 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed No | 71c | 150$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d99…24f0backed Yes | 57c | 140$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 28c | 136$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.9 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 29c | 105.23$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.71 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed No | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 71c | 86.2$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed No | 71c | 85.92$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…c5f2backed No | 71c | 84.97$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.33 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -35%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 27c | 80$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.4 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 58c | 76.5$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…a732backed Yes | 57c | 70.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 71c | 68.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.42 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1239…f34cbacked Yes | 67c | 67.16$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bb…20a9backed Yes | 80c | 61.4$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fb…0fe8backed No | 71c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…fac5backed Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf00…6767backed Yes | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed No | 43c | 46.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…7803backed No | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcc…772cbacked No | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked No | 56c | 43.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 70c | 40.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…7b9abacked Yes | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 97 | 38.1%37 W · 60 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…6744backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 69c | 34.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe07c…551dbacked Yes | 79c | 33.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…425ebacked No | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…da2cbacked No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 71cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…8d6dbacked Yes | 61c | 24.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a4…72adbacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ed…203abacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 71c | 19.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed No | 73c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 73c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brentford win on 2025-08-23?this page
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-23?No won
- Will Brentford vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.