Premier League · resolved market
Will Brentford vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14ed3194560989ea7dafea142bf17daf47936350b4aafc43896b2ae5aabb0bd8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,394
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,926
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,394 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 73c | 30,000$21,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,099.99 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Yes | 27c | 28,217$7,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,618.65 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…be17backed Yes | 27c | 3,138$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.38 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c21…86e5backed No | 73c | 2,056$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9093…b928backed No | 73c | 2,054$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.58 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 73c | 1,949$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.15 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd35e…3a85backed Yes | 27c | 1,562$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.68 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 21c | 1,147$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 27c | 851.85$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 26c | 800$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 27c | 664.22$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.73 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 541$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.07 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 26c | 501.91$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.5 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed No | 72c | 452.01$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.33 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 28c | 445.86$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb753…f859backed Yes | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked No | 73c | 275$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.25 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc202…2afdbacked Yes | 28c | 270$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 264.91$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.03 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f4…60cbbacked Yes | 10c | 256.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…03cdbacked Yes | 28c | 213.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -54%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked No | 73c | 202.86$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.74 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf44d…68acbacked Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83dd…fe0fbacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 72c | 177.54$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.71 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…1278backed Yes | 28c | 135$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…239abacked Yes | 28c | 117.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…c622backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…4df1backed Yes | 29c | 101.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 208 | 19.2%40 W · 168 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ff53backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 73c | 79.98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 17c | 73.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…2223backed No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…7b9abacked Yes | 30c | 66.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 38.1%37 W · 60 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d91…863dbacked Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7594…1f03backed Yes | 28c | 46.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 30c | 44.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 150 | 60.7%91 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf8…8c19backed Yes | 28c | 43.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…67b5backed Yes | 30c | 40.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 71c | 39.03$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 76c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 79c | 23.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brentford vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?this page
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-23?No won
- Will Brentford win on 2025-08-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.