South American Leagues · resolved market
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe89b7f6f31e76e3f0c860357f3d163b6d4a9635ae687e47525aa159f8fed5a1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 75c | 3,925$2,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.95 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 41c | 3,754$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530.79 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 26c | 3,115$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.25 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16e…43afbacked Over | 46c | 1,869$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.89 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +287.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 54c | 1,431$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.23 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over | 57c | 874.44$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed Over | 22c | 781.41$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.06 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…7f85backed Under | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…bd17backed Over | 34c | 590.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed Under | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Over | 8c | 431.66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 25c | 399.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 129 | 33.3%43 W · 86 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 46c | 327.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.27 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69c0…30f9backed Over | 43c | 300.78$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Over | 21c | 292.59$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.44 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +112%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 43c | 290$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.3 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 43c | 290$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.3 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…500bbacked Under | 53c | 243.68$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.53 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 57c | 220.01$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.04 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 57c | 171.86$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.49 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked Under | 60c | 138.73$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.03 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 43c | 133.66$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.22 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Under | 44c | 108.2$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.59 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Over | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 209 | 34%71 W · 138 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 47c | 101$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.53 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…b4dabacked Under | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 43c | 98.76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.3 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 21c | 97.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 78c | 96.67$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 78c | 95.38$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked Under | 44c | 94.55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.95 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 79c | 91.61$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Over | 22c | 90.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 30c | 85.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ad…1cc0backed Over | 57c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…2016backed Over | 27c | 77.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 49c | 66.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de3…3ad2backed Over | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 24c | 59.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 42c | 56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 68 | 77.9%53 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 76c | 39.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 55c | 39.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7eb…da58backed Under | 74c | 39.19$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 79c | 36.83$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd69…82f7backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 53c | 33.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 57c | 29.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedaf…5e45backed Over | 55c | 27.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 43c | 26.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 43c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…a727backed Over | 57c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 57c | 24.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 232 | 53%123 W · 109 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Under | 43c | 24.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39f9…fcc3backed Under | 60c | 21.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…fc25backed Under | 60c | 20.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Under | 74c | 17.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec7…93d1backed Under | 76c | 15.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 1.5this page
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Rosario Central: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Rosario Central: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Rosario Central: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 0.5Over won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 2.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 4.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Rosario Central: SC Corinthians Paulista O/U 0.5Over won
- Spread: CA Rosario Central (-1.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5)CA Rosario Central won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.