South American Leagues · resolved market
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15c5800fb12d7e5625f0fa46e1fb81a1a78e2672d48b8c47137e052bb271415d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,456
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,456 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Over | 31c | 4,534$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.87 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 69c | 2,374$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.06 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 5c | 1,200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 129 | 33.3%43 W · 86 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 70c | 946.75$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.78 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 10c | 871.42$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.2 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x786d…b89bbacked Over | 30c | 622.67$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…21f7backed Under | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 23c | 406.17$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.42 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 71c | 313.14$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.81 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Under | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd629…1e72backed Over | 18c | 269.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 69c | 252.37$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.79 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 69c | 237$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…eacebacked Over | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 68c | 183$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.56 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 68c | 183$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.56 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 29c | 153.68$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.57 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 71c | 131.09$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.56 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 18c | 102.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 70c | 99.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 14c | 89.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…df76backed Under | 71c | 84.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 79c | 52.67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…f16abacked Under | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 28c | 40.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…24b1backed Under | 71c | 36.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23f8…2c9abacked Under | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked Under | 77c | 27.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Under | 72c | 22.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 70c | 19.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 2.5this page
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Rosario Central: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Rosario Central: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Rosario Central: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 0.5Over won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 1.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 4.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Rosario Central: SC Corinthians Paulista O/U 0.5Over won
- Spread: CA Rosario Central (-1.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5)CA Rosario Central won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.