Tennis · resolved market
Adelaide International, Qualification: Mina Hodzic vs Anna Blinkova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d57a56ddf1a8c1f200113c3541c2352ce0f8dc3f6066cf7ef765059fd7b4b34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hodzicof Hodzic, Blinkova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Blinkova | 3c | 5,043$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.09 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Blinkova | 1c | 3,717$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Blinkova | 35c | 2,042$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.85 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd7…db07backed Blinkova | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Blinkova | 38c | 1,223$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.56 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Blinkova | 45c | 1,110$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.33 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked Hodzic | 45c | 941.67$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.79 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Blinkova | 54c | 883.84$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.84 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Blinkova | 12c | 848$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.52 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Blinkova | 44c | 672.8$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.15 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hodzic | 74c | 627.91$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.88 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Hodzic | 10c | 542.32$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.61 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hodzic | 57c | 524.46$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.24 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Blinkova | 22c | 520.6$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.63 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5995…53b3backed Blinkova | 70c | 357.14$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Blinkova | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 440 | 38.4%169 W · 271 L | -27.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…272bbacked Hodzic | 77c | 259.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.26 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Blinkova | 35c | 250.95$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.91 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4181…d46ebacked Hodzic | 39c | 250$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Blinkova | 70c | 249$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.3 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Hodzic | 42c | 238.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.31 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Hodzic | 42c | 223.81$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.81 | 991 | 39.9%395 W · 596 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Blinkova | 51c | 196.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae3…493abacked Hodzic | 58c | 172.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Hodzic | 31c | 162.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.56 | 191 | 29.8%57 W · 134 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca5…eb3cbacked Hodzic | 79c | 144.2$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Blinkova | 80c | 123$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Hodzic | 45c | 115.68$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.78 | 2,150 | 54.1%1,164 W · 986 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Hodzic | 62c | 97.81$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -11.0wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc3…675bbacked Hodzic | 60c | 84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 137 | 63.5%87 W · 50 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Hodzic | 15c | 70$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 694 | 29.8%207 W · 487 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4dd…9c06backed Hodzic | 80c | 64.1$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 76cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Blinkova | 26c | 63.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -32.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x80e2…9ff7backed Hodzic | 24c | 61.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hodzic | 21c | 57.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.44 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…c103backed Hodzic | 74c | 56.07$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Blinkova | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Blinkova | 26c | 48.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f04…ecb3backed Hodzic | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 77cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Hodzic | 70c | 33.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hodzic | 50c | 31.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Hodzic | 54c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…639ebacked Hodzic | 80c | 25.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 76cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Blinkova | 69c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 320 | 49.1%157 W · 163 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…d5b0backed Hodzic | 70c | 22.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…b4dabacked Hodzic | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b51…7292backed Hodzic | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Adelaide International, Qualification: Mina Hodzic vs Anna Blinkovathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Hodzic vs BlinkovaHodzic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.