South American Leagues · resolved market
São Paulo FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e5b8caa7e0d94dee9cfe34bbf7184181a444c27e9b099d82bd3310382b35683
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,706
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,347
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,706 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf16e…43afbacked Over | 26c | 5,443$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,041.72 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +287.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 78c | 4,480$3,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,495.86 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Over | 25c | 3,591$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,686.35 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 1c | 3,251$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 92 | 7.6%7 W · 85 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…5449backed Under | 1c | 3,250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 23c | 3,139$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,414.45 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 37c | 2,772$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740.37 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…9c73backed Under | 1c | 2,622$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c35…78abbacked Under | 39c | 1,987$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.6 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 15cpaid | +312.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 1,941$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.55 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed Over | 31c | 1,503$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 1,354$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.49 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed Over | 51c | 1,055$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Under | 42c | 967.03$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.15 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 44c | 960.5$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.62 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 70c | 820.9$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.86 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 78c | 685.38$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.59 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 67c | 583.74$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.46 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 23c | 552.17$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.5 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Over | 51c | 536.94$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.1 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9b…4238backed Over | 73c | 392$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.79 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 56c | 388.25$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.51 | 206 | 65%134 W · 72 L | +24.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 57c | 367.54$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.64 | 246 | 65.9%162 W · 84 L | +26.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Over | 51c | 294$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.06 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 55c | 269.04$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.31 | 157 | 68.2%107 W · 50 L | +21.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6f79…0307backed Under | 74c | 244.49$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 74c | 211.63$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.66 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Over | 53c | 211.54$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.06 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Over | 24c | 204.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Under | 69c | 200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 71c | 134.48$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 76c | 124$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.16 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Over | 73c | 120.16$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 19c | 111$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.91 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d0…2fefbacked Under | 40c | 106.8$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 51c | 103.1$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.48 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 50c | 95.51$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.14 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x059c…050ebacked Under | 44c | 92.29$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 52c | 89.81$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.63 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 73c | 88.51$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.61 | 142 | 64.1%91 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Over | 42c | 88.39$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.39 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 32c | 84.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Under | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 76c | 73.23$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.53 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d41…6a2ebacked Under | 59c | 70.32$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Under | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 46c | 61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 21c | 58.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.05 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 68 | 77.9%53 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 52c | 49.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 40c | 46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 46c | 46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Under | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…60e4backed Over | 55c | 42.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…0163backed Over | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +8.8wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…736ebacked Over | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 56c | 39.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Under | 48c | 31.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 56c | 30.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…b4dabacked Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked Over | 50c | 25.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +392.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Over | 57c | 23.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Under | 60c | 22.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 77c | 19.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Under | 76c | 18.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 70c | 18.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 69c | 17.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 69c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- São Paulo FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Club Bolívar (-1.5)São Paulo FC won
- Spread: São Paulo FC (-1.5)São Paulo FC won
- Spread: São Paulo FC (-2.5)Club Bolívar won
- São Paulo FC vs. Club Bolívar: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- São Paulo FC vs. Club Bolívar: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- São Paulo FC vs. Club Bolívar: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- São Paulo FC vs. Club Bolívar: Club Bolívar O/U 2.5Under won
- São Paulo FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 0.5Over won
- São Paulo FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 1.5Over won
- São Paulo FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 2.5Over won
- São Paulo FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 4.5Under won
- São Paulo FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 5.5Under won
- São Paulo FC vs. Club Bolívar: São Paulo FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- São Paulo FC vs. Club Bolívar: São Paulo FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- São Paulo FC vs. Club Bolívar: São Paulo FC O/U 1.5Over won
- São Paulo FC vs. Club Bolívar: São Paulo FC O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.