TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

São Paulo FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,744
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,336

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,744 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over14c3,684$518 inLost-$5185,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over10c3,179$321 inLost-$320.82,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over11c2,358$266 inLost-$265.571,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42f…b629backed Over19c1,482$278 inLost-$278.052982.8%24 W · 5 L+11.1wins+0.38per pick45cpaid+93.6%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over13c1,387$181 inLost-$181.488,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Under64c1,177$756 inWon+$420.772152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafd0…ebd0backed Over43c907.02$388 inLost-$388.068139.5%32 W · 49 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c35…78abbacked Under53c366$194 inWon+$172.026624.2%16 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick15cpaid+312.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Over15c288.36$43 inLost-$43.252920.7%6 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under68c287.33$195 inWon+$91.952,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over19c225.32$44 inLost-$43.7729047.6%138 W · 152 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Under71c207.23$148 inWon+$59.1514943%64 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-20.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4cd…c041backed Over20c153.89$31 inLost-$31.464353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bc8…b4dabacked Over12c130$15 inLost-$14.955547.3%26 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over13c123.69$16 inLost-$16.3685220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over32c120.21$38 inLost-$38.151,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Over14c88.59$12 inLost-$12.423253%123 W · 109 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Over36c70.55$25 inLost-$25.2921538.1%82 W · 133 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Over15c66.67$10 inLost-$101625%4 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Over35c60.03$21 inLost-$21.012437.5%9 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under70c55.01$38 inWon+$16.5348547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7e9…99e6backed Over38c52.69$20 inLost-$202339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under77c46.34$36 inWon+$10.7250643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9030…60e4backed Over33c43.66$14 inLost-$14.46850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf423…31c4backed Under62c32.23$20 inWon+$12.325054%27 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under75c20$15 inWon+$4.9551945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb83b…dedfbacked Under63c17.32$11 inWon+$6.321172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.