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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Wisconsin Badgers vs. Michigan Wolverines

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wisconsin Badgersof Wisconsin Badgers, Michigan Wolverines
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$141,448
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$163,390

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,448 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6218…f388backed Wisconsin Badgers27c13,299$3,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,721.881154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Wisconsin Badgers46c11,312$5,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,095.032,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Michigan Wolverines79c10,833$8,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,528.225,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Michigan Wolverines78c8,885$6,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,900.3615556.1%87 W · 68 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+32.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Wisconsin Badgers24c5,495$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,161.6349747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Wisconsin Badgers46c5,081$2,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,734.321,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0e3…29ebbacked Michigan Wolverines76c4,477$3,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,414.881872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+57.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b16…e8b8backed Michigan Wolverines7c3,583$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.672147.6%10 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.19per pick29cpaid+53.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Wisconsin Badgers55c2,808$1,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,255.933,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Wisconsin Badgers51c2,578$1,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,265.922,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Michigan Wolverines15c2,330$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.631646.8%148 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Wisconsin Badgers72c2,319$1,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6601,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Wisconsin Badgers14c1,986$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,715.5214027.1%38 W · 102 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Wisconsin Badgers33c1,943$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,304.9822050.5%111 W · 109 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Wisconsin Badgers18c1,855$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,518.1516135.4%57 W · 104 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Wisconsin Badgers12c1,834$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.714925.5%38 W · 111 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9aeb…5a2dbacked Wisconsin Badgers26c1,824$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,355.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe85e…2aebbacked Michigan Wolverines66c1,721$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.451833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-40.9%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Wisconsin Badgers27c1,626$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,194.2673549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3946…61f2backed Michigan Wolverines47c1,477$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.03333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Wisconsin Badgers17c1,250$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.931,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked Wisconsin Badgers5c1,200$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.631,22727.8%341 W · 886 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Wisconsin Badgers5c1,160$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,102.117451.4%38 W · 36 L+8.3wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+39.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wisconsin Badgers2c1,142$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.0990645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Wisconsin Badgers2c1,086$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.471,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Michigan Wolverines32c1,081$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.531,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Michigan Wolverines34c1,015$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.31,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Wisconsin Badgers17c1,001$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.8314021.4%30 W · 110 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Michigan Wolverines75c1,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7506923.2%16 W · 53 L-7.2wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-49.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Wisconsin Badgers3c1,000$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.718129.3%53 W · 128 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Wisconsin Badgers74c827.57$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.854434.1%15 W · 29 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a4e…3309backed Wisconsin Badgers27c746.11$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.115735.1%20 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Wisconsin Badgers7c739.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.982,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Wisconsin Badgers43c661.46$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.733,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ab9…5b82backed Wisconsin Badgers19c635.82$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.723836.8%14 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb90…1917backed Michigan Wolverines39c619.82$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.653046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Wisconsin Badgers15c606$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.7436845.7%168 W · 200 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Wisconsin Badgers5c480$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.42626.5%4 W · 58 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f5…8be3backed Wisconsin Badgers24c412.25$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.3112733.9%43 W · 84 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5d6…4d05backed Wisconsin Badgers41c370.18$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+145.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8104…ce10backed Wisconsin Badgers67c348.02$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2f…3531backed Wisconsin Badgers73c347.89$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.893348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc54d…8649backed Wisconsin Badgers7c297.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+395.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…41b4backed Wisconsin Badgers80c296.38$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Michigan Wolverines78c275.45$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.1932343%139 W · 184 L-18.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Wisconsin Badgers5c271.75$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.51,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Wisconsin Badgers16c263.46$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.4636535.9%131 W · 234 L+1.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Michigan Wolverines43c250$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.9634649.1%170 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x85f7…fb66backed Wisconsin Badgers6c246.53$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.593613.9%5 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Wisconsin Badgers20c243$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.062,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c0…69d0backed Michigan Wolverines76c232.1$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1776538.5%25 W · 40 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4225…7fafbacked Wisconsin Badgers5c218.6$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.671127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+118.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Michigan Wolverines78c201.7$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.6545644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ff2…b81fbacked Wisconsin Badgers10c200$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.43per pick40cpaid+194.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa3ea…1aa9backed Wisconsin Badgers7c199.71$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.93per pick7cpaid+1,398.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe02f…669fbacked Michigan Wolverines20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308814.8%13 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9161…622ebacked Wisconsin Badgers17c149.96$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.964522.2%10 W · 35 L+5.2wins+0.11per pick11cpaid+51.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b24…2d97backed Wisconsin Badgers22c141.61$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.76955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc932…e6a5backed Wisconsin Badgers71c141.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf83f…6fdebacked Michigan Wolverines71c141.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+67.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83c8…26f0backed Michigan Wolverines11c137.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1213313.5%18 W · 115 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb16c…4ceabacked Michigan Wolverines73c137.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Michigan Wolverines17c118.34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015055.3%83 W · 67 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Wisconsin Badgers18c100$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Michigan Wolverines79c97$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.0448462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Wisconsin Badgers77c93$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3927955.2%154 W · 125 L+22.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ba3…3e2dbacked Wisconsin Badgers72c72.7$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.522100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9443…dd60backed Wisconsin Badgers33c60.39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.39875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+51.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2bc8…b4dabacked Wisconsin Badgers25c60$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.03850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba34…7e93backed Michigan Wolverines79c60$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.391553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Wisconsin Badgers39c59.42$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.172,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad01…6f40backed Wisconsin Badgers26c57.69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.693030%9 W · 21 L-5.2wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-35.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb75e…1737backed Michigan Wolverines32c50.3$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.05862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Wisconsin Badgers50c47.08$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.581,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x90e4…e026backed Wisconsin Badgers79c43.71$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4595…14ebbacked Michigan Wolverines67c40$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.84771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick73cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5384…7408backed Michigan Wolverines27c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-62.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8271…d0a3backed Wisconsin Badgers79c35.44$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…c054backed Michigan Wolverines72c32.39$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3219057.4%109 W · 81 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf8ac…34fdbacked Michigan Wolverines76c30$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Michigan Wolverines55c29.96$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.64673.9%34 W · 12 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked Michigan Wolverines78c25.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.591457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70c8…006cbacked Wisconsin Badgers65c22.94$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9414062.9%88 W · 52 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd05a…bf53backed Michigan Wolverines74c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.83339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb768…b6f7backed Wisconsin Badgers79c17.01$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.55875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9aea…5590backed Michigan Wolverines80c15.29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1815844.3%70 W · 88 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.