La Liga · resolved market
Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76eba185016efb207888e8e8ae5860a83621fa2e3775176ee298c6ae9acfb52e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,366
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,549
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,366 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 31c | 20,862$6,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,488.15 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 40c | 13,399$5,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,104.47 | 1,017 | 33.4%340 W · 677 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 70c | 7,345$5,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,104.88 | 841 | 44.8%377 W · 464 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…db2fbacked Under | 11c | 6,380$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,680.45 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 73c | 4,144$3,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,036.47 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 78c | 2,583$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.31 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Under | 15c | 2,288$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,945.08 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a95…3a16backed Under | 66c | 2,270$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.63 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf397…f3c8backed Over | 64c | 1,400$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 40c | 1,234$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.44 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x145a…5e86backed Over | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 34c | 1,035$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.51 | 578 | 39.3%227 W · 351 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 34c | 861.32$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.78 | 250 | 33.6%84 W · 166 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x308b…b223backed Over | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked Under | 11c | 718.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.94 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7249…f5dabacked Over | 75c | 713.19$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Under | 54c | 632.84$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.11 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 67c | 629.06$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.32 | 412 | 39.1%161 W · 251 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb00d…af5fbacked Under | 58c | 530.29$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.72 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked Over | 34c | 499.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed Over | 69c | 432.49$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdeda…8e35backed Over | 49c | 426.08$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.21 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5b…2501backed Over | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 77c | 377.72$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.42 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 41c | 331.78$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.76 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 53c | 283.01$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.01 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45bb…4927backed Over | 49c | 247.04$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 57c | 238$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.32 | 159 | 61.6%98 W · 61 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…b4dabacked Over | 44c | 219.17$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.45 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 52c | 211.36$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.31 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 18c | 196.12$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.09 | 1,529 | 38.5%588 W · 941 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 61c | 185.95$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.31 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167d…435ebacked Under | 72c | 171.49$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 10c | 168.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.83 | 146 | 26%38 W · 108 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 61c | 167$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.56 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 57c | 161.64$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 55c | 135.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.52 | 445 | 24.3%108 W · 337 L | -49.5wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5e…b4afbacked Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8a…4d5fbacked Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Over | 78c | 125$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 47c | 113.58$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.64 | 214 | 39.7%85 W · 129 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…ab49backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ae…1b3dbacked Over | 18c | 99.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…080bbacked Under | 42c | 82.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.79 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 59c | 71.06$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Over | 73c | 66.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…6533backed Under | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe28d…9c81backed Over | 17c | 66.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 43c | 56.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under | 35c | 53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 46c | 52.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Over | 74c | 52.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…6a89backed Over | 75c | 44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 54c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Under | 53c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 79c | 33.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 225 | 57.3%129 W · 96 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…4a14backed Over | 60c | 33.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…7537backed Under | 35c | 28.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Under | 50c | 21.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Under | 65c | 15.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 30 | 86.7%26 W · 4 L | +6.4wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 0.5this page
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)Valencia CF won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-2.5)Valencia CF won
- Spread: Valencia CF (-1.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
- Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 5.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: RC Celta de Vigo O/U 0.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: RC Celta de Vigo O/U 1.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: RC Celta de Vigo O/U 2.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Valencia CF O/U 0.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Valencia CF O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.