La Liga · resolved market
Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4a54db7ab19b0d3bc431acf4b3e4de8de9c94769377cd9990170c174fa023e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,676
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 4,624$2,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,939.48 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 4c | 4,345$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.81 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 50c | 2,564$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x712e…0485backed No | 50c | 1,783$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 50c | 1,174$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.12 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 15c | 901.37$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.66 | 232 | 32.8%76 W · 156 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 50c | 843.81$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.73 | 196 | 32.7%64 W · 132 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 2c | 841$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 49c | 787.65$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.9 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 50c | 639.95$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.98 | 440 | 39.3%173 W · 267 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffdf…97f8backed Yes | 51c | 431.37$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 50c | 388.9$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.45 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 6c | 273.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 6c | 264.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 402 | 39.1%157 W · 245 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ae…1b3dbacked Yes | 33c | 200$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 57c | 169.21$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.29 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 50c | 152$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 86 | 72.1%62 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 38c | 151.89$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.98 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 50c | 131.82$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.91 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 52c | 110.55$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.27 | 335 | 44.2%148 W · 187 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 192 | 37.5%72 W · 120 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedb…91fdbacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5005…08afbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 186 | 53.8%100 W · 86 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Yes | 51c | 98.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 50c | 94.68$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.34 | 198 | 40.4%80 W · 118 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73fb…c7afbacked Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…b045backed Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 19c | 79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…481bbacked No | 78c | 74.05$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 58c | 74$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 46c | 74$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 59c | 74$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 156 | 60.9%95 W · 61 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 18c | 69.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 66c | 60.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 277 | 58.5%162 W · 115 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…60c5backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 50c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 50c | 44.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Yes | 49c | 44.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 163 | 42.3%69 W · 94 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed No | 50c | 43.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 50c | 41.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e3…cc35backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefca…31f5backed Yes | 50c | 39.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 49c | 39.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 49c | 35.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 50c | 35.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88e…8244backed Yes | 43c | 35.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…6e97backed No | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 48c | 27.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac2…4fd8backed No | 51c | 23.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…770ebacked Yes | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed No | 59c | 18.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)Valencia CF won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-2.5)Valencia CF won
- Spread: Valencia CF (-1.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
- Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 0.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 5.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: RC Celta de Vigo O/U 0.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: RC Celta de Vigo O/U 1.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: RC Celta de Vigo O/U 2.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Valencia CF O/U 0.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Valencia CF O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.