TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$169,474
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$192,266

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,474 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Over29c15,123$4,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,404.7283444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over20c14,545$2,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,877.13,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over28c12,758$3,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,509.0257139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb340…1ad1backed Under78c9,061$7,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,011.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under55c6,617$3,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,001.9199933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over23c5,614$1,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,295.894,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over21c5,256$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.8360832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under31c4,579$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,159.692,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9b4…9fc9backed Under31c3,226$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,225.8333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under31c3,225$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,225.2518046.7%84 W · 96 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over20c3,061$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.7920142.8%86 W · 115 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over11c2,461$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.6933544.2%148 W · 187 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under31c2,387$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,647.092040%8 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under31c2,321$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,601.2741751.8%216 W · 201 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x78e3…2bcabacked Under41c2,073$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,223.17425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under55c1,846$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.092055%11 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e8a…61c3backed Over37c1,579$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over33c1,417$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.3123232.8%76 W · 156 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under35c1,390$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.851,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over33c1,022$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.1440239.1%157 W · 245 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Over68c999.97$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.9811822.9%27 W · 91 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Under31c935.55$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.534663%29 W · 17 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+25.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over19c829.57$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.041,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under31c780$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.212546.4%58 W · 67 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25d1…173bbacked Over22c647$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.19825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-49.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over50c503.88$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.947850%39 W · 39 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfae3…c20ebacked Over2c503.88$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.08170%0 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0a6…2a95backed Over40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked Over47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2353237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over34c441.18$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504250%21 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under31c400$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27664457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f5b…2501backed Over45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed Under32c355.5$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.744148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef54…1444backed Under32c350.63$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.431090%9 W · 1 L+4.2wins+0.42per pick48cpaid+101.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over68c300$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2045651.8%29 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd00c…8154backed Over69c289.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under31c255.72$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.4511542.6%49 W · 66 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea16…4bd8backed Over60c253.23$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.89683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+27.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0035…f536backed Over45c217.1$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e8…b506backed Over21c210.93$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.641936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-34.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under32c206.33$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.6468450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfd1…2647backed Over35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cb0…5390backed Over45c187$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.761241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa57…4f9dbacked Over40c170.08$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.03540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under32c169.72$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.071,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over55c157.13$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.9810445.2%47 W · 57 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over37c156.98$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9144424.1%107 W · 337 L-50.1wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-47.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x292b…697dbacked Over65c153.92$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010350.5%52 W · 51 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over37c150$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.542158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc92c…6f15backed Over69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5630…6ca8backed Over69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under31c137.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.2114525.5%37 W · 108 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa442…3b25backed Over61c129.75$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5767…490ebacked Over64c117.19$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-53.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under56c114$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.115660.9%95 W · 61 L+10.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over30c111.42$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.417842.3%33 W · 45 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x35cf…6fabbacked Over40c104.15$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.661631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa797…dedebacked Over65c96.09$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.531450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over24c93.7$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9427758.5%162 W · 115 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb511…e800backed Over39c92.05$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.95650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bad…1e9ebacked Over56c90$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-46.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over68c74$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.27238.9%28 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over68c74$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1215540.6%63 W · 92 L-11.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Under32c51.56$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.063050%15 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x167d…435ebacked Under65c46.19$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.16757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x505b…fbe0backed Over65c45.93$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9545…d6f7backed Over69c43.48$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebde…1de0backed Under69c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.42254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Over27c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.88040%32 W · 48 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-22.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under32c39.49$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.856645.5%30 W · 36 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4466…cd34backed Under32c37.5$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Under33c36.72$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.577365.8%48 W · 25 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2fea…f2c9backed Over69c36.23$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under31c35.49$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4911336.3%41 W · 72 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over40c35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145448.1%26 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Over68c32.88$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.368647.7%41 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9e3…cc35backed Over69c28.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-45%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Over66c26$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.162934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-35.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c6c…0319backed Over40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd97…ae50backed Under62c24.04$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.063086.7%26 W · 4 L+6.4wins+0.21per pick65cpaid+35.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xccb7…0477backed Under61c23.75$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.262864.3%18 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8026…7433backed Over65c15.84$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.27666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-2.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.