La Liga · resolved market
Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88f1f583ea7dbf7a344ac4350c3de476d608753766fddc952d2289a1b201d464
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,670
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,670 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d67…6b86backed Under | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 8c | 8,270$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.95 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f8…8af4backed Over | 41c | 6,939$2,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,845.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 41c | 3,000$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.49 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 40c | 2,878$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.6 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 63c | 2,130$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.98 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 2c | 1,750$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.13 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 4c | 1,683$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.48 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 2c | 1,577$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Over | 40c | 1,456$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.21 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 40c | 1,425$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.33 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 59c | 1,060$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.6 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4272…4a17backed Over | 32c | 743.75$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…c20ebacked Over | 3c | 618.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 40c | 551.2$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.48 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 36c | 500.54$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.96 | 232 | 32.8%76 W · 156 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…84a2backed Over | 35c | 399.66$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.88 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 58c | 395.31$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.14 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 40c | 349.38$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.75 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 26c | 320.42$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.97 | 402 | 39.1%157 W · 245 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 59c | 316$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.56 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 59c | 316$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.56 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 40c | 314.25$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.7 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Under | 60c | 288.08$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.23 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…1444backed Under | 59c | 284.75$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.75 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.2wins | +0.42per pick | 48cpaid | +101.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Under | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 41c | 227.98$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.88 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 58c | 222.95$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.23 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Over | 41c | 211.92$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.89 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Under | 75c | 193.81$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Over | 41c | 190$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.9 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefe4…8f49backed Under | 58c | 189.98$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.79 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 42c | 188.97$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.37 | 196 | 32.7%64 W · 132 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a6…2a95backed Over | 42c | 173.81$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 42c | 172.27$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.01 | 145 | 25.5%37 W · 108 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed Under | 59c | 139.83$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.33 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25d1…173bbacked Over | 31c | 136.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.47 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7249…f5dabacked Over | 41c | 128.8$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d54…d454backed Over | 43c | 125.58$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 41c | 122.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.21 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x407c…4ba3backed Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Over | 41c | 99.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 163 | 42.3%69 W · 94 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45bb…4927backed Over | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 18c | 87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…e800backed Under | 59c | 81.36$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed Over | 41c | 79.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Under | 59c | 75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 62c | 65.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Over | 34c | 56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 41c | 51.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d82…244dbacked Over | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2a…a65abacked Under | 59c | 46.42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 61c | 44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed Over | 43c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 41c | 37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 38c | 35.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Under | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 64c | 26.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 335 | 44.2%148 W · 187 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 60c | 23.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 440 | 39.3%173 W · 267 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 71c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 156 | 60.9%95 W · 61 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Under | 57c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 228 | 59.6%136 W · 92 L | +18.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 71c | 16.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)Valencia CF won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-2.5)Valencia CF won
- Spread: Valencia CF (-1.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
- Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 0.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 5.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: RC Celta de Vigo O/U 0.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: RC Celta de Vigo O/U 1.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: RC Celta de Vigo O/U 2.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Valencia CF O/U 0.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Valencia CF O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.