Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8c4c9f3bb46e44af6ab758cb680e50fd0984cbe7caab74e137d665580d13009
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,353
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x24dd…12afbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 4,256$2,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.06 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…b4dabacked Yes | 41c | 2,600$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.93 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 2c | 2,305$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 52c | 1,860$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.6 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 21c | 1,691$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.03 | 87 | 35.6%31 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 79c | 1,673$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.26 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 1,647$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.26 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 45c | 1,489$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.04 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f3…0979backed Yes | 33c | 1,077$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.86 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 79c | 809.31$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.08 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 21c | 537.13$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.91 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 26c | 514.79$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.69 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 15c | 499.95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.96 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 50c | 499$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.5 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…a2d6backed No | 50c | 499$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed Yes | 2c | 493.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…c2ddbacked Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 73c | 230$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.65 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 61c | 217.71$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.03 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 23c | 217.32$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…2d77backed Yes | 72c | 199.67$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…f193backed Yes | 66c | 144.23$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Yes | 14c | 142$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…b597backed Yes | 76c | 137$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 49c | 136$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.17 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked No | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 25c | 133.72$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.46 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 68c | 103.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.45 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c1…0101backed No | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 70c | 77.58$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 67c | 77$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.69 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc60f…742dbacked Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 20c | 69.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Yes | 32c | 59.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39a1…ed68backed Yes | 68c | 58.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b4…96a4backed No | 18c | 55.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.56per pick | 24cpaid | +211.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 44c | 55.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe0…e3e0backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf677…409ebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd887…808dbacked No | 31c | 48.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +217.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 79c | 48.46$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 21c | 47.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed No | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9a71…aa33backed Yes | 50c | 46.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked No | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 80c | 41.66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 67 | 86.6%58 W · 9 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 77cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed No | 64c | 41.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadad…5857backed No | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 77c | 29.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d3d0backed No | 48c | 25.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…ab3ebacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfec9…3c7dbacked Yes | 50c | 22.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cee…dd25backed Yes | 79c | 14.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-02-12?Yes won
- Will NEOM SC win on 2026-02-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.