South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x948a8419294650a0bb5f596383853579f0825ca70f341cfd0fe4ba8c8b89a319
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,029
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe23c…5ae7backed Yes | 23c | 2,500$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9766…a41dbacked No | 18c | 2,093$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 79c | 1,878$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.3 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 21c | 954.52$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.52 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…14ffbacked Yes | 20c | 785$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +150%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 24c | 743.63$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.63 | 209 | 34%71 W · 138 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed No | 20c | 649.67$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.93 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 19c | 646.01$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.41 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes | 62c | 573.78$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.28 | 124 | 34.7%43 W · 81 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…8586backed No | 4c | 516.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 10cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 73c | 478.5$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.98 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5005…23febacked No | 3c | 403.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…920dbacked Yes | 8c | 394.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.58 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59a4…260fbacked Yes | 25c | 387.4$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.6 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 27c | 352.7$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.47 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 14c | 322.72$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 116 | 40.5%47 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 15c | 302$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…4a1fbacked Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 113 | 28.3%32 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 129 | 33.3%43 W · 86 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…b4dabacked Yes | 10c | 280$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.4 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b2…ee5bbacked Yes | 28c | 267.86$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.86 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9503…1fd2backed Yes | 11c | 259.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.59 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 28cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 16c | 251.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed No | 74c | 233.68$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.35 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 26c | 223.25$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.2 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 31c | 182.53$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.05 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked No | 24c | 164.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 22c | 161$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -5.5wins | -0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -93.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 69c | 160$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 77c | 156.5$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.98 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28b…60c6backed Yes | 19c | 133.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.76 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…486dbacked Yes | 24c | 133.33$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 31c | 128.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.48 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…736ebacked Yes | 33c | 124.54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.82 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 10c | 117.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Yes | 23c | 115.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.02 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…bf2ebacked Yes | 20c | 98.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.54 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 31c | 94.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.79 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 12c | 88.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.89 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 28c | 73.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.79 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 26c | 70.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.59 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 28c | 68.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.38 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Yes | 18c | 63.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.79 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 17c | 61.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.39 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 70c | 61.1$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.07 | 232 | 53%123 W · 109 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 19c | 60.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 71c | 57.51$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.83 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf88…7733backed No | 76c | 44.72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa250…b806backed Yes | 30c | 41.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 70c | 41.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x023b…262abacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 31c | 35.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 70c | 31.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed No | 77c | 23.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 67c | 19.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-08-22?No won
- Will Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.