South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x920fab799befbbd9302b9bc1643f5c186c5f9709fcd8ece26f7797cfaae91bca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,069
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,185
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,069 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 77c | 1,992$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.55 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked Yes | 3c | 1,667$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 48c | 1,312$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.15 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Yes | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…e517backed Yes | 54c | 1,105$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 34c | 297.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b2…ee5bbacked Yes | 29c | 268.97$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 45c | 256.96$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.14 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 163.99$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked No | 34c | 157$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.62 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5005…23febacked Yes | 10c | 153.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 67c | 147.98$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.35 | 116 | 40.5%47 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…486dbacked Yes | 45c | 143.6$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…700fbacked Yes | 15c | 141.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed01…83a8backed No | 76c | 138.32$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed No | 15c | 130.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.01 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…cdebbacked No | 15c | 120.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.1 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.22per pick | 24cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 20c | 104.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…b4dabacked No | 42c | 92$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.36 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 72c | 89$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed No | 71c | 84.48$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 59c | 83.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.17 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 64c | 82$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 21c | 81.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 29c | 81.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 70c | 80.43$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 58c | 73$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.59 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 71c | 72.51$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 72.19$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 48c | 70.79$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 73c | 68.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed No | 73c | 68.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…038ebacked Yes | 22c | 63.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 15cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 73c | 62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 56c | 59.15$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked No | 76c | 55.32$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0720…89a7backed Yes | 29c | 55.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff30…88bdbacked Yes | 29c | 55.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 71c | 53.62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 72c | 53.25$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes | 30c | 49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 53c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 38c | 45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 31c | 34.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Yes | 31c | 34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 73c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5783…429dbacked No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…535ebacked Yes | 79c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?this page
- Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-08-22?No won
- Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-08-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.