TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-08-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$153,828
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$155,192

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,828 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x04d5…66d8backed Yes44c112,373$49,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,951.655650%28 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fe9…5e52backed No55c18,400$10,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,2801100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No57c15,004$8,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,438.158,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No56c11,340$6,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,997.925,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No56c10,786$6,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,723.791,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No55c10,208$5,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,548.511,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed No56c6,606$3,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,939.6212755.1%70 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No56c5,636$3,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,484.73,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No55c5,330$2,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,408.391,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No54c5,104$2,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,347.831850%9 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+22.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No56c4,653$2,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,033.922,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed No54c3,085$1,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,419.9534747.6%165 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No56c2,979$1,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,310.761,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed No56c2,674$1,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,188.94136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No65c2,060$1,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.523,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Yes46c2,043$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.128746%40 W · 47 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No56c2,037$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.271,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88024855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No56c1,735$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.3727855.4%154 W · 124 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd9f…c675backed Yes36c1,690$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No56c1,568$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.9222457.1%128 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed No56c1,537$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.931250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8868…ec09backed No56c1,308$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.623073.3%22 W · 8 L+7.0wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+55.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes43c1,201$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.4349136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5952…db2fbacked Yes26c1,155$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300175.9%1 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick17cpaid-51.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d39…6bf1backed Yes42c1,098$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.22425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-57.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe5b…8abcbacked Yes46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002330.4%7 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+29.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No55c1,080$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.031,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2d4…23e8backed Yes46c1,028$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.763148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No55c908$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.7631039.7%123 W · 187 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed01…83a8backed No67c900$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2972536%9 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-45.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed No54c782.59$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.992458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Yes48c719.09$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.1620934%71 W · 138 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes46c700$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7618…24c6backed Yes43c697.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+75.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed No39c653.98$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.9813748.9%67 W · 70 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa71d…9854backed Yes46c631.25$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.384362.8%27 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No56c600$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26424053.8%129 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No57c551.77$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.627060%42 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29bf…e7e0backed Yes46c550$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No55c532$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.2872058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…ae3dbacked No57c445.79$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.696100%6 W · 0 L+3.4wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+157.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No69c423.04$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.6553836.8%198 W · 340 L-24.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No72c416.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.6721252.4%111 W · 101 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Yes45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17619559.5%116 W · 79 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed No55c370.18$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.582556%14 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No55c339.54$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.796759.7%40 W · 27 L+6.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+34.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed No44c331.18$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.8329037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ac6…db45backed Yes46c326.09$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a4c…1940backed Yes74c324.49$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2408858%51 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes30c318.94$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3237540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed No56c302$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.5141262.1%256 W · 156 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes29c281.17$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.2536339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9503…1fd2backed Yes14c263.88$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick28cpaid+75.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd06b…3353backed Yes43c249.06$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1067048.6%34 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed No56c236.33$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.7919349.2%95 W · 98 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No58c225.79$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.372,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No58c219.5$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.191,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12c4…ff8cbacked No54c218.98$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.736038.3%23 W · 37 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No58c215$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.31,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884850%24 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884452.3%23 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No56c200$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.142,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8821358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9018358.5%107 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8828851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8823056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9a9…68b6backed No56c200$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No57c188$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.4363061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed No55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.825056%28 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24bf…b006backed No57c178.26$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.657856.4%44 W · 34 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed Yes45c166.62$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.982157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked No55c163.15$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x294f…eeabbacked Yes48c159.92$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.711241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a41…f527backed Yes46c156.25$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.882958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No56c156$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.6415359.5%91 W · 62 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes22c150$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.550643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d29…65e7backed Yes24c150$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362250%11 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+62.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No54c149.99$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6955946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Yes33c147.28$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0312740.9%52 W · 75 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes35c147.18$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.671,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01d7…5fd2backed No71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.857170.4%50 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked No55c136.36$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.366665.2%43 W · 23 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+14.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes46c131.4$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608937.1%33 W · 56 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked No58c131.19$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.16349.2%31 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd577…c012backed Yes46c127.65$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.725354.7%29 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x64e8…b506backed No56c127.57$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.022536%9 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ab…eefdbacked Yes44c124.12$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked Yes41c122$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.024847.9%23 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No56c120.72$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.4132139.6%127 W · 194 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe10e…72a6backed Yes43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.64452.3%23 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No56c119.54$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.616751.5%86 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No55c118.16$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1727549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33cc…22ebbacked Yes43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+27.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes45c112$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5076951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bca…486dbacked Yes72c109.68$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.97540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebf3…50a8backed Yes46c104.16$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.912860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf04b…049abacked Yes46c104.16$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.912560%15 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.