Asian League · resolved market
Will Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c4a33611dce8179ded88be781f57af61c7b52163f17c605fd3166488a170e72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,563
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,558
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,563 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 73c | 1,962$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.71 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…b4dabacked Yes | 40c | 1,600$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.09 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 20c | 1,250$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.02 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f3…0979backed Yes | 27c | 1,106$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 1,086$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.14 | 6,028 | 46.1%2,778 W · 3,250 L | +50.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 65c | 1,023$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.25 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Yes | 19c | 884.13$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.66 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 77c | 768.66$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.34 | 402 | 56.2%226 W · 176 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 71c | 594.93$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.35 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 16c | 579$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.61 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 15c | 495$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.89 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 46c | 416.55$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.21 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Yes | 20c | 388.01$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.98 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…3b71backed Yes | 63c | 350$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 314.13$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.04 | 2,566 | 42.1%1,081 W · 1,485 L | +52.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9d2dbacked No | 53c | 213.89$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.53 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 58cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 209.34$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.86 | 1,796 | 50.2%902 W · 894 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 289 | 32.9%95 W · 194 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x806b…5cd8backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 31c | 178.37$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.39 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 45c | 159.24$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 17c | 126$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 1,066 | 41.7%445 W · 621 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2353…67bfbacked No | 80c | 125.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +95%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 16c | 124.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 75c | 117.71$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 494 | 67.8%335 W · 159 L | +69.4wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 31c | 114.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 785 | 55.7%437 W · 348 L | +38.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 44c | 102.05$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.18 | 291 | 64.9%189 W · 102 L | +30.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c1…0101backed Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 26c | 95.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 27c | 93.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 87 | 35.6%31 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9140…a914backed Yes | 38c | 89.47$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 28c | 81.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 137 | 62.8%86 W · 51 L | +11.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Yes | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…d90ebacked No | 72c | 79.78$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb59c…e944backed Yes | 47c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0665…4186backed Yes | 27c | 53.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1241…c496backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5737…2eb2backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1036…fb48backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Yes | 43c | 43.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x71c8…bc51backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked No | 71c | 39.95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +7.3wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 27c | 37.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…f425backed Yes | 36c | 34.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 64c | 31.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75cd…61a6backed No | 41c | 28.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +50%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…8ad7backed No | 46c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…a647backed Yes | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…0df2backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-02-12?No won
- Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-02-12?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.