AI · resolved market
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10e9522505ae7e53fae6644360f23cfb273162dc3ee673791cda5549ea78ca08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $163,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $127,973
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a80…729cbacked Yes | 16c | 9,121$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.35 | 58 | 13.8%8 W · 50 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…f655backed Yes | 20c | 7,530$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.46 | 201 | 30.3%61 W · 140 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8df…abd7backed Yes | 0c | 7,136$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 3cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 0c | 5,821$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 292 | 0.3%1 W · 291 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 2c | 4,700$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.56 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9406…1b98backed Yes | 1c | 4,663$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd484…fb10backed Yes | 1c | 4,663$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48af…89ccbacked No | 59c | 3,379$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.44 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…40fbbacked Yes | 21c | 3,239$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.82 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…eb4fbacked Yes | 20c | 3,187$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.23 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed Yes | 31c | 2,644$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.22 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed Yes | 14c | 2,236$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.75 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 2,101$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.63 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e1…b679backed No | 12c | 1,874$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.74 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed Yes | 10c | 1,818$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.76 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6430…d6e7backed Yes | 9c | 1,704$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.61 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 45c | 1,610$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.92 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd900…a592backed Yes | 27c | 1,565$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.57 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32a3…a818backed Yes | 75c | 1,501$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.24 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8af9…c3e8backed No | 20c | 1,472$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.08 | 48 | 12.5%6 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Yes | 69c | 1,430$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 8c | 1,360$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.16 | 186 | 7%13 W · 173 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 12c | 1,342$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.97 | 183 | 11.5%21 W · 162 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 8c | 1,224$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.11 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…b4dabacked Yes | 23c | 1,210$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.76 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9982…23c1backed Yes | 16c | 1,165$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.64 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ca…3b87backed No | 22c | 1,069$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.59 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x270a…7b78backed Yes | 8c | 1,051$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.46 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 217 | 13.4%29 W · 188 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…417bbacked Yes | 35c | 999.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…321ebacked Yes | 7c | 999.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e8…5b74backed Yes | 47c | 808.2$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.41 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -5.3wins | -0.24per pick | 60cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 35c | 797.45$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.74 | 183 | 23%42 W · 141 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 43c | 795.73$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.73 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912d…f1febacked Yes | 28c | 788.79$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.09 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 11c | 761.92$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.18 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e6…060cbacked Yes | 23c | 745.69$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.6 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb0…73c8backed Yes | 23c | 726.46$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb9…3870backed Yes | 70c | 724.08$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.3 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27b…3966backed Yes | 16c | 700$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.55 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 58c | 657.11$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.15 | 369 | 45.3%167 W · 202 L | +29.3wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 17c | 634.32$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.76 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 17c | 624.55$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.36 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 17c | 584.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.69 | 211 | 0.9%2 W · 209 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 35c | 582.44$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.94 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 12c | 557.84$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.59 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 30c | 534.49$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…e488backed Yes | 14c | 506.65$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.97 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked No | 12c | 500$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…cca3backed Yes | 20c | 459.16$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.96 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 16c | 436.39$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.7 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa1…d4c8backed No | 57c | 431.79$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed71…d7cebacked Yes | 26c | 431.35$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659d…a037backed Yes | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 46 | 13%6 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 20c | 399.69$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.03 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -7.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Yes | 4c | 384.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…09debacked No | 65c | 360.67$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.99 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5930…236abacked Yes | 16c | 350$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.45 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba35…1b73backed Yes | 30c | 338.73$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…9c85backed No | 20c | 338$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.4 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 47c | 326$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.31 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73ca…055abacked Yes | 23c | 325$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.75 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf946…d542backed Yes | 26c | 317.16$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 10c | 308.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Yes | 27c | 302.98$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.56 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 32cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 6c | 300$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a5…d228backed Yes | 19c | 300$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 37c | 278.27$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.43 | 893 | 17.1%153 W · 740 L | -144.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x049b…55b7backed Yes | 23c | 247.81$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +364.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79f3…d803backed Yes | 11c | 243.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 17c | 240.03$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.03 | 251 | 22.7%57 W · 194 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked Yes | 43c | 226.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.66 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 15c | 222.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 297 | 7.7%23 W · 274 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80a1…68bfbacked Yes | 53c | 219.72$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe633…c0febacked Yes | 39c | 206.46$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.11 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999f…da43backed Yes | 48c | 200$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…8832backed Yes | 37c | 199.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +203.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb08…3afbbacked Yes | 10c | 195.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Yes | 52c | 194.66$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.71 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73b1…4a78backed Yes | 26c | 192.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 15c | 189.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 117 | 5.1%6 W · 111 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 48c | 187.66$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.85 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 21c | 187.01$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…f66fbacked Yes | 16c | 180.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c16…4890backed Yes | 28c | 175$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed No | 27c | 173.65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.92 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2670…fd0abacked Yes | 6c | 172.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x872a…bb56backed Yes | 12c | 164.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb07d…23dcbacked No | 56c | 162.13$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.13 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 39c | 162.02$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.43 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 70c | 160.01$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.59 | 205 | 44.4%91 W · 114 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…2518backed Yes | 26c | 157.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22df…ed56backed No | 27c | 152.35$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.31 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0d…d3adbacked Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x749f…9501backed No | 25c | 148.55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.3 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 21c | 146.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.04 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…916fbacked Yes | 36c | 142.45$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b53…6290backed Yes | 29c | 136.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…8c45backed No | 72c | 135$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61b0…ea7fbacked Yes | 25c | 122.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?this page
- Will Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
- Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes won
- Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
- Will Meituan have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
- Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
- Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
- Will Z.ai have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
- Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.