Tennis · resolved market
Pau: Henri Squire vs Alexander Shevchenko
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa398ba30a91c431bd63a867d6221187073f1324b014bc5cb8db1a8f5389e9c41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Squireof Squire, Shevchenko
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,842
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,842 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Shevchenko | 62c | 12,610$7,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,781.97 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Squire | 35c | 11,113$3,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,193.9 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Shevchenko | 50c | 4,210$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090.53 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Shevchenko | 59c | 3,832$2,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,264.35 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Squire | 42c | 2,266$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.33 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Squire | 39c | 1,753$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.39 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Squire | 40c | 1,100$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Squire | 25c | 943.98$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.98 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Squire | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.33 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…b4dabacked Squire | 56c | 801.89$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.71 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Shevchenko | 71c | 794.23$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.82 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f8bcbacked Shevchenko | 68c | 559.68$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.02 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Squire | 40c | 299.59$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.16 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Squire | 47c | 287.23$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.23 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Squire | 39c | 230.96$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Squire | 48c | 207.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.79 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Squire | 44c | 200$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Shevchenko | 56c | 200$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 178 | 63.5%113 W · 65 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Shevchenko | 56c | 178.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 542 | 49.3%267 W · 275 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…1848backed Squire | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb48c…ab11backed Shevchenko | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf878…05c1backed Squire | 8c | 132.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.17 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +287.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Squire | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Shevchenko | 55c | 105.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Shevchenko | 59c | 102.02$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 136 | 52.9%72 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Shevchenko | 56c | 88.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Squire | 24c | 60$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Shevchenko | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Shevchenko | 57c | 50.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Shevchenko | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…7ee6backed Shevchenko | 57c | 48.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 130 | 66.9%87 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Shevchenko | 56c | 48.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -8.6wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Shevchenko | 57c | 47.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Shevchenko | 57c | 46.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Squire | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc494…543cbacked Shevchenko | 73c | 42.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Shevchenko | 60c | 41.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Shevchenko | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1039…2914backed Shevchenko | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 287 | 64.1%184 W · 103 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Squire | 41c | 31.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…07d4backed Shevchenko | 57c | 31.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd7…db07backed Shevchenko | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Squire | 41c | 26.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2f16…1e38backed Shevchenko | 47c | 25.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Shevchenko | 69c | 20.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 341 | 59.5%203 W · 138 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a75…9d4fbacked Shevchenko | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa0…be2dbacked Shevchenko | 71c | 14.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.