Tennis · resolved market
Adelaide International: Jacob Fearnley vs Quentin Halys
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7c05e5e7b75792f8e3d3ea84b2e040edbbbb04a3593da716f8227936a5a17e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Halysof Fearnley, Halys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,752
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,879
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,752 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked Fearnley | 20c | 12,500$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Halys | 78c | 6,717$5,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.11 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Fearnley | 41c | 5,061$2,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080.73 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Halys | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.99 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Halys | 58c | 4,350$2,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830.88 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Halys | 80c | 3,982$3,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.45 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…7ecebacked Fearnley | 42c | 3,873$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.4 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Fearnley | 15c | 1,243$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.33 | 107 | 29%31 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Fearnley | 40c | 1,048$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.88 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Halys | 61c | 1,000$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Halys | 63c | 803.68$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.58 | 191 | 34%65 W · 126 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Fearnley | 39c | 774.89$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.98 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Fearnley | 48c | 522.04$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.64 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Halys | 60c | 500.03$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.03 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Fearnley | 40c | 493.08$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.23 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Halys | 73c | 484.04$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.1 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b8…8d54backed Fearnley | 5c | 456.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Fearnley | 43c | 350$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 926 | 55.9%518 W · 408 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Fearnley | 20c | 338.66$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.15 | 161 | 50.3%81 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf74d…9930backed Halys | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Fearnley | 27c | 290.43$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.09 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Fearnley | 5c | 261$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 218 | 43.1%94 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Halys | 60c | 248.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.85 | 142 | 59.2%84 W · 58 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Halys | 80c | 239.89$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 97 | 62.9%61 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Halys | 76c | 236.15$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Halys | 57c | 192.96$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.96 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…7553backed Halys | 62c | 161.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.79 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Halys | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Halys | 58c | 147$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.74 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Halys | 58c | 143.69$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.14 | 257 | 43.6%112 W · 145 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked Fearnley | 33c | 100.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.24per pick | 35cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…b4dabacked Fearnley | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9161…622ebacked Fearnley | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Fearnley | 25c | 97.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…a045backed Halys | 61c | 92$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Fearnley | 29c | 89.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fearnley | 52c | 85.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…b4f1backed Halys | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 181 | 66.9%121 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe71…72a4backed Fearnley | 21c | 67.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3457…0161backed Halys | 47c | 67.57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.81 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf837…8b61backed Fearnley | 58c | 65.82$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0df…cf9ebacked Halys | 78c | 64.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Halys | 58c | 62$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Halys | 58c | 61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…3f4fbacked Fearnley | 25c | 57.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Halys | 58c | 52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Halys | 61c | 52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5631…bd3abacked Halys | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +7.1wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Halys | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2,332 | 46.6%1,087 W · 1,245 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…bd74backed Fearnley | 42c | 48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7927…34d2backed Halys | 61c | 47.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +34%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Fearnley | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Fearnley | 60c | 41.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b00…cfbdbacked Halys | 80c | 41.64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Halys | 50c | 39.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…a8edbacked Fearnley | 42c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd8…e7d4backed Halys | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad2…d17fbacked Fearnley | 42c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…f2d1backed Fearnley | 39c | 34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Halys | 59c | 33.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 313 | 39.9%125 W · 188 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc17…53b6backed Fearnley | 42c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Fearnley | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb02…b642backed Halys | 62c | 29.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 62 | 74.2%46 W · 16 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf5…840ebacked Fearnley | 42c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 66cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83b1…cac1backed Fearnley | 42c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…e191backed Halys | 45c | 26.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4883…98abbacked Halys | 80c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 76cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x669e…035bbacked Halys | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 101 | 86.1%87 W · 14 L | +14.1wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Adelaide International: Jacob Fearnley vs Quentin Halysthis page
- Fearnley vs. Halys: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Fearnley vs. Halys: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Fearnley vs. Halys: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Fearnley vs. Halys: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Fearnley vs. Halys: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Fearnley vs. Halys: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Fearnley vs HalysHalys won
- Set Handicap: Halys (-1.5) vs Fearnley (+1.5)Halys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.