South American Leagues · resolved market
Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f89bd2b91df243ee8afb4dfe732bdc1e6cf660e341b579f74722306fc7fd232
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,549
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,974
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,549 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04d5…66d8backed Over | 50c | 52,731$26,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,485.29 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 50c | 13,803$6,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,926.56 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under | 59c | 4,632$2,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,751.08 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 4,104$2,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088.44 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.94 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Over | 49c | 3,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.99 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Under | 49c | 2,606$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.12 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 50c | 2,207$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.44 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…db2fbacked Under | 32c | 2,169$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e3…2bcabacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 1,918$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.2 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 50c | 1,568$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 1,526$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.31 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 49c | 1,462$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.17 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 50c | 1,250$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…4078backed Under | 6c | 1,225$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.42 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 50c | 1,148$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.24 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed Over | 51c | 1,025$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.3 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Over | 51c | 910.64$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.21 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 50c | 742$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.67 | 310 | 39.7%123 W · 187 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…9854backed Over | 51c | 571.69$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.13 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccc…a5d5backed Under | 2c | 564.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 50c | 557$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.5 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 53c | 513.54$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.6 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 11c | 395.89$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 59c | 317.49$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.84 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 66c | 298.62$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 51c | 256$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.56 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 50c | 226.46$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.23 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 51c | 219$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.63 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8abcbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 209 | 34%71 W · 138 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 51c | 183$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.46 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…b4dabacked Over | 60c | 180$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Under | 50c | 156$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…700fbacked Under | 14c | 151.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 54c | 146.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.07 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Over | 51c | 146.82$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.94 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…f527backed Over | 51c | 141.5$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.34 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 49c | 141.43$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.43 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Under | 11c | 130$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Under | 50c | 118.04$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.02 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Over | 51c | 115.38$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.54 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 61c | 111.26$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.3 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 50c | 102.07$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.31 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…c89ebacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 37c | 98.64$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.68 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf3…50a8backed Over | 51c | 94.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.22 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf04b…049abacked Over | 51c | 94.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.22 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 62c | 93.73$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.62 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 51c | 92.74$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.03 | 232 | 53%123 W · 109 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Under | 50c | 86.92$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Under | 51c | 81.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.57 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 50c | 79.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 142 | 64.1%91 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 54c | 79.26$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.73 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 50c | 78.92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.46 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 39c | 76.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.48 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 52c | 66.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 213 | 66.7%142 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Under | 50c | 63.76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb696…7a4ebacked Under | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Over | 34c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…f409backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 48c | 58.92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Under | 50c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…dff0backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 189 | 59.3%112 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e17…2412backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fd…9994backed Over | 51c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x232f…8002backed Over | 51c | 38.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 42c | 38.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x10af…2d06backed Over | 51c | 37.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 50c | 35.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c78…c49fbacked Over | 51c | 33.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 51c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8613…2f76backed Over | 48c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3a…e85dbacked Over | 48c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…a727backed Under | 53c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Under | 49c | 25.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5this page
- Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Flamengo: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Flamengo: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Flamengo: CR Flamengo O/U 0.5Over won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 0.5Over won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)Cruzeiro EC won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)Cruzeiro EC won
- Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)CR Flamengo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.