TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,549
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,974

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,549 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x04d5…66d8backed Over50c52,731$26,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,485.295650%28 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under50c13,803$6,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,926.562,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5504047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under59c4,632$2,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,751.083036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c4,104$2,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,088.448,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c4,000$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,009.941,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Over49c3,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,519.995851.7%30 W · 28 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed Under49c2,606$1,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.122458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under50c2,207$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.4412755.1%70 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5952…db2fbacked Under32c2,169$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700175.9%1 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick17cpaid-51.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00024855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78e3…2bcabacked Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under50c1,918$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.24136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under50c1,568$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78422457.1%128 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under50c1,526$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.313,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under49c1,462$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.171,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under50c1,250$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62534747.6%165 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x81f8…4078backed Under6c1,225$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.423633.3%12 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under50c1,148$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.2427855.4%154 W · 124 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2d4…23e8backed Over51c1,025$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.33148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Over51c910.64$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.218746%40 W · 47 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under50c742$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.6731039.7%123 W · 187 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30024053.8%129 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa71d…9854backed Over51c571.69$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.134362.8%27 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ccc…a5d5backed Under2c564.78$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4740%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under50c557$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.549136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over53c513.54$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.650643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Over51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1961145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019559.5%116 W · 79 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under11c395.89$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.751,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over59c317.49$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.8435046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over66c298.62$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10219447.9%93 W · 101 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under51c256$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.5617951.4%92 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Under50c226.46$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.2316449.4%81 W · 83 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under51c219$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.632,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+73.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004850%24 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004452.3%23 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe5b…8abcbacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002330.4%7 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+29.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9818358.5%107 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0820934%71 W · 138 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under51c183$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.463,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bc8…b4dabacked Over60c180$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725547.3%26 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Under50c156$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7815359.5%91 W · 62 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe977…700fbacked Under14c151.09$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212626.9%7 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick17cpaid+66.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under54c146.97$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.072,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed Over51c146.82$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.942157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a41…f527backed Over51c141.5$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.342958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over49c141.43$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.4335958.8%211 W · 148 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Under11c130$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.973737.8%14 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed Under50c118.04$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0214563.4%92 W · 53 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd577…c012backed Over51c115.38$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.545354.7%29 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over61c111.26$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.351945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Under50c102.07$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3119349.2%95 W · 98 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd170…a9d9backed Over45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x085d…c89ebacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5072058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015560%93 W · 62 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over37c98.64$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.685,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebf3…50a8backed Over51c94.33$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.222860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf04b…049abacked Over51c94.33$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.222560%15 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over62c93.73$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6276951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under51c92.74$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0323253%123 W · 109 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…b506backed Under50c86.92$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.42536%9 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Under51c81.5$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.573759.5%22 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9141262.1%256 W · 156 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Under50c79.72$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8614264.1%91 W · 51 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under54c79.26$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7363061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under50c78.92$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4616050.6%81 W · 79 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over39c76.19$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4832139.6%127 W · 194 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under52c66.63$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6521366.7%142 W · 71 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Under50c63.76$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.888851.1%45 W · 43 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb696…7a4ebacked Under41c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.62060%12 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+21%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked Over34c60$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.59860.2%59 W · 39 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe026…f409backed Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over48c58.92$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.361,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.825139.2%20 W · 31 L-5.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-23.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Under50c51$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.53652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256665.2%43 W · 23 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+14.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205056%28 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x947d…dff0backed Over48c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.84456.8%25 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024257%138 W · 104 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.618959.3%112 W · 77 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e17…2412backed Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1fd…9994backed Over51c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.852157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x232f…8002backed Over51c38.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.832157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over42c38.08$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1885220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x10af…2d06backed Over51c37.73$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.491450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under50c35.25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.639051.1%46 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c78…c49fbacked Over51c33.33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.331650%8 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under51c32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.321369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+22.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8613…2f76backed Over48c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.921747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a3a…e85dbacked Over48c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.92966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+39.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1573…a727backed Under53c28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.841942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Under49c25.54$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.511338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick59cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.