South American Leagues · resolved market
Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e79de4ebc4d44ce6ab6139d692321214294880f5b01fda8fd163913a0e14c58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,179
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,179 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 45c | 562.67$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.2 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 55c | 311$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.95 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 59c | 240$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 50c | 223.03$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.14 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…14ffbacked No | 46c | 202.22$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +150%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 52c | 162.98$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.95 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 54c | 135.94$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.53 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 55c | 133.29$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.98 | 673 | 37.1%250 W · 423 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…497dbacked Yes | 55c | 127.13$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.21 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 55cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 771 | 51.4%396 W · 375 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 116 | 40.5%47 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…b4dabacked No | 40c | 110$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…500bbacked Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 49c | 91.15$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.06 | 1,447 | 45.9%664 W · 783 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 45c | 88.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 88.03$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.86 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de3…3ad2backed Yes | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 49c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 49c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x110c…a086backed Yes | 55c | 33.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x125f…b7e8backed Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Flamengo: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Flamengo: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Flamengo: CR Flamengo O/U 0.5Over won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 0.5Over won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5Over won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)Cruzeiro EC won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)Cruzeiro EC won
- Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)CR Flamengo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.