South American Leagues · resolved market
CSyD Macará vs. Santos FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8f61e2f9a7d298f187dd8555890e8f759a5cf1b00a8cfbcf24c2dde189a8983
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,959
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,959 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 80c | 1,305$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.96 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…317abacked Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 20c | 399.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 129 | 33.3%43 W · 86 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…b4dabacked Yes | 11c | 349.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 52c | 264.9$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.05 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 71c | 240$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.61 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 52c | 183.13$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 22c | 151.91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked No | 48c | 133.13$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 54c | 129.09$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.24 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x712e…0485backed No | 47c | 119.03$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…a1c4backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 53c | 96.34$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.86 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 48c | 90.3$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.34 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 48c | 78.68$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73fb…c7afbacked Yes | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 48c | 52.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 259 | 55.2%143 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 39c | 46.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 38c | 38.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 42c | 37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47df…2183backed Yes | 38c | 33.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3a…e85dbacked No | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 64c | 20.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 78c | 13.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.06 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CSyD Macará vs. Santos FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CSyD Macará vs. Santos FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CSyD Macará vs. Santos FC: CSyD Macará O/U 2.5Under won
- CSyD Macará vs. Santos FC: O/U 0.5Under won
- CSyD Macará vs. Santos FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- CSyD Macará vs. Santos FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- CSyD Macará vs. Santos FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CSyD Macará vs. Santos FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- CSyD Macará vs. Santos FC: Santos FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Spread: CSyD Macará (-1.5)Santos FC won
- Spread: CSyD Macará (-2.5)Santos FC won
- Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)CSyD Macará won
- Spread: Santos FC (-2.5)CSyD Macará won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.