South American Leagues · resolved market
CSyD Macará vs. Santos FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc244eff9ba2e49dd0bd940421d96492432be63f93f7260a0024f067e98fb822
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,448
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 72c | 4,391$3,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,161.27 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 38c | 3,465$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.97 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 35c | 2,704$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.45 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 39c | 2,230$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.47 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 46c | 1,939$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.54 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 67c | 1,700$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.39 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Under | 51c | 1,372$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.53 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 35c | 1,103$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.53 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Over | 15c | 750$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.97 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 28c | 618.5$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.32 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…39bbbacked Over | 33c | 591.88$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69c0…30f9backed Over | 44c | 455.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 28c | 446$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.12 | 310 | 39.7%123 W · 187 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over | 72c | 411.45$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.47 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69e3…761fbacked Over | 64c | 310$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 33c | 297.93$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.32 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 37c | 279.75$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.46 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 129 | 33.3%43 W · 86 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8220…b081backed Under | 51c | 197.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…490ebacked Over | 72c | 131.94$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Under | 73c | 115.52$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 27c | 105.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 28c | 99.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.78 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…7166backed Over | 72c | 86$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 67c | 57.9$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 66c | 57.28$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 68c | 54.92$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 28c | 53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.3 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb67a…340bbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 34c | 45.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 73c | 31.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 73c | 27.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Under | 58c | 25.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…555abacked Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xace3…f9b0backed Over | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…a398backed Over | 60c | 18.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CSyD Macará vs. Santos FC: O/U 1.5this page
- CSyD Macará vs. Santos FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CSyD Macará vs. Santos FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CSyD Macará vs. Santos FC: CSyD Macará O/U 2.5Under won
- CSyD Macará vs. Santos FC: O/U 0.5Under won
- CSyD Macará vs. Santos FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- CSyD Macará vs. Santos FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CSyD Macará vs. Santos FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- CSyD Macará vs. Santos FC: Santos FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Spread: CSyD Macará (-1.5)Santos FC won
- Spread: CSyD Macará (-2.5)Santos FC won
- Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)CSyD Macará won
- Spread: Santos FC (-2.5)CSyD Macará won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.