TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

New Mexico Lobos vs. Grand Canyon Antelopes

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
New Mexico Lobosof New Mexico Lobos, Grand Canyon Antelopes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,218
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,898

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,218 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa38a…821dbacked New Mexico Lobos69c3,737$2,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,142.4849345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Grand Canyon Antelopes37c2,733$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012230.3%37 W · 85 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed New Mexico Lobos56c2,342$1,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.393,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a61…5781backed New Mexico Lobos61c2,326$1,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.572657.7%15 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked New Mexico Lobos47c2,109$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,117.562,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3be…c163backed New Mexico Lobos71c2,000$1,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.992445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-28.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2bc8…b4dabacked New Mexico Lobos76c1,832$1,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.82850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Grand Canyon Antelopes25c1,810$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.961,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9f3…0979backed New Mexico Lobos77c1,352$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.26520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-74%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Grand Canyon Antelopes55c1,288$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.4323941.4%99 W · 140 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed New Mexico Lobos65c1,256$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.824444.7%109 W · 135 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb123…0a15backed Grand Canyon Antelopes53c1,200$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63610753.3%57 W · 50 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Grand Canyon Antelopes39c1,163$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.61,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc7c…d9d7backed Grand Canyon Antelopes28c1,000$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2754742.6%20 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8348…de9fbacked Grand Canyon Antelopes2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20300%0 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Grand Canyon Antelopes30c748.69$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.6368254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked New Mexico Lobos45c721.56$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.8612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Grand Canyon Antelopes16c703$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.072,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Grand Canyon Antelopes53c684$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.521,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4b2…1c67backed New Mexico Lobos56c615$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26914354.5%78 W · 65 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x359f…fa80backed Grand Canyon Antelopes3c600$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182611.5%3 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick6cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed New Mexico Lobos71c589.54$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.273,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Grand Canyon Antelopes39c566.69$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.162,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed New Mexico Lobos32c507$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.865520%11 W · 44 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New Mexico Lobos71c505.45$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.45,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Grand Canyon Antelopes53c481.23$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.2661652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b96…b053backed Grand Canyon Antelopes42c479.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001421.4%3 W · 11 L-4.2wins-0.30per pick52cpaid-68.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed New Mexico Lobos47c421.34$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.341258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Grand Canyon Antelopes26c399.49$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.994,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Grand Canyon Antelopes53c388$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.6460548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked New Mexico Lobos59c366.04$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.2587047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf50d…7ba8backed Grand Canyon Antelopes9c343$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.15287.1%2 W · 26 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked New Mexico Lobos52c331.93$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.61,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Grand Canyon Antelopes24c302.08$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.063,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Grand Canyon Antelopes15c282.95$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.854,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd607…6ddcbacked Grand Canyon Antelopes5c240.66$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.03496.1%3 W · 46 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-22.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Grand Canyon Antelopes25c236.12$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.842,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b15…f827backed Grand Canyon Antelopes43c225.77$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.464845.8%22 W · 26 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-11.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Grand Canyon Antelopes41c222.42$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.641,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed New Mexico Lobos42c219.98$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.391,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Grand Canyon Antelopes53c217.39$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.2213052.3%68 W · 62 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked New Mexico Lobos48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.82,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed Grand Canyon Antelopes19c178.32$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3314447.2%68 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Grand Canyon Antelopes59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003666.7%24 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Grand Canyon Antelopes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017062.9%107 W · 63 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b5f…1ae6backed Grand Canyon Antelopes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004731.9%15 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1487…d443backed Grand Canyon Antelopes25c156.1$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.77648.7%37 W · 39 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c1…9511backed New Mexico Lobos52c144.23$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.231346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed New Mexico Lobos78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2148462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed New Mexico Lobos61c118.74$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.472,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x266d…083fbacked New Mexico Lobos76c105.91$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.42450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc3a…e1f0backed Grand Canyon Antelopes54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5426848.1%129 W · 139 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed New Mexico Lobos48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5221449.5%106 W · 108 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked New Mexico Lobos48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.21,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf084…4b0ebacked Grand Canyon Antelopes14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14230%0 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Grand Canyon Antelopes63c97.3$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+28.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked New Mexico Lobos65c94.81$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4577142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked Grand Canyon Antelopes54c90$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.69035.6%32 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid+18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Grand Canyon Antelopes62c88.82$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5593447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Grand Canyon Antelopes39c84.75$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.735,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bc3…d183backed New Mexico Lobos70c80$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-41.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed New Mexico Lobos46c75$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.51,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Grand Canyon Antelopes53c75$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.651,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked New Mexico Lobos42c69.89$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.191,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeef4…10eabacked Grand Canyon Antelopes48c64.97$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.19520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-67.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x74d0…f39ebacked New Mexico Lobos46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.43100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+158.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Grand Canyon Antelopes64c55$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.36657.6%38 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Grand Canyon Antelopes51c51.06$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0499045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed New Mexico Lobos45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.589146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f3d…fea8backed Grand Canyon Antelopes53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked New Mexico Lobos44c44.42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9137441.7%156 W · 218 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x221b…f7eabacked Grand Canyon Antelopes28c44.03$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Grand Canyon Antelopes44c44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2819138.2%73 W · 118 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed New Mexico Lobos51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.627358.6%160 W · 113 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Grand Canyon Antelopes52c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.862753%332 W · 295 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bc5…e1abbacked Grand Canyon Antelopes28c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90c9…476dbacked New Mexico Lobos77c38.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7685…d406backed New Mexico Lobos52c38.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.451020%2 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-60.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Grand Canyon Antelopes42c35.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8513350.4%67 W · 66 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked New Mexico Lobos39c35.29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5222730.4%69 W · 158 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed New Mexico Lobos64c33.22$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0236942.3%156 W · 213 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked New Mexico Lobos72c31.03$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6943450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Grand Canyon Antelopes54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.264658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Grand Canyon Antelopes53c29.62$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.710043%43 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ec3…4db1backed New Mexico Lobos69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.991963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf0c…2265backed Grand Canyon Antelopes73c28.77$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214961.2%30 W · 19 L-0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Grand Canyon Antelopes64c26.33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.851,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Grand Canyon Antelopes63c21.66$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6245953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf740…cf50backed Grand Canyon Antelopes50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e86…0979backed Grand Canyon Antelopes63c16.32$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.361540%6 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.