South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd20fb03e36ece9d2c6127bb5a05e44df5b6929c5e2c2e1aadbb5288ef7b92a23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,547
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,577
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,547 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3171…b991backed Over | 74c | 3,118$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 34c | 2,932$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.01 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 53c | 943.03$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.76 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 36c | 904.86$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.9 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 33c | 898.41$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ef…e59abacked Under | 38c | 769.1$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 53cpaid | -76%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed Under | 47c | 600.47$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.22 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…9854backed Over | 56c | 541.07$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.07 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c2…d39ebacked Over | 53c | 377.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.35 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Over | 65c | 299$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.65 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…b4dabacked Under | 31c | 251.2$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.65 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8220…b081backed Under | 50c | 209.62$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.62 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Under | 32c | 206.72$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.89 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 34c | 190.85$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6109…0baabacked Over | 54c | 185.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…edbdbacked Over | 57c | 166.66$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.66 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 46c | 147.11$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.67 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…428abacked Under | 69c | 141.59$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…f527backed Over | 54c | 133.92$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 45c | 130.38$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.81 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 46c | 119.08$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Over | 53c | 94.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…ea41backed Over | 56c | 89.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebf3…50a8backed Over | 54c | 89.28$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.03 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf04b…049abacked Over | 56c | 89.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 45c | 87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.57 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 33c | 75.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 34c | 67.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 34c | 62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c1…dc25backed Over | 60c | 60.79$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 43c | 48.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 67c | 45.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd6…cfdebacked Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fd…9994backed Over | 53c | 37.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 37c | 36.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…dff0backed Over | 55c | 36.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10af…2d06backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Over | 72c | 31.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 66c | 31.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 59c | 28.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256a…8fb4backed Over | 53c | 26.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed Over | 56c | 21.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 3.5this page
- Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 4.5Over won
- Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)CR Vasco da Gama won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-2.5)CR Vasco da Gama won
- Spread: Club Olimpia (-1.5)CR Vasco da Gama won
- Spread: Club Olimpia (-2.5)CR Vasco da Gama won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.