TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,037
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,111

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,037 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Over64c1,592$1,019 inWon+$573.72,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under34c1,225$413 inLost-$412.793,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under36c770.7$277 inLost-$277.4528940.1%116 W · 173 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over64c631.68$407 inWon+$224.41,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed Over67c530$355 inWon+$174.912754.3%69 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under34c518.15$178 inLost-$178.12,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under36c301.39$108 inLost-$108.248,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2815…7f0cbacked Over63c39.68$25 inWon+$14.682860.7%17 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae3b…e06ebacked Over62c35.48$22 inWon+$13.482254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfb3…f890backed Under37c31.73$12 inLost-$11.715757.9%33 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a89…24b1backed Over65c30.15$20 inWon+$10.552070%14 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c1…dc25backed Over70c20$14 inWon+$6.051080%8 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+40.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x33a5…3da0backed Over68c16.03$11 inWon+$5.132100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.