TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,587
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$79,428

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,587 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x162c…6c47backed Over45c5,210$2,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,868.68763.2%55 W · 32 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over53c4,030$2,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,877.7820036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under55c3,938$2,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,153.442,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Under40c3,175$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,285.231349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under12c2,727$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.911025.5%28 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Under27c2,432$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.1317440.2%70 W · 104 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Under9c2,418$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.2310635.8%38 W · 68 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+106.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over29c2,126$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,511.561,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Under56c2,107$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,170.3810446.2%48 W · 56 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1bf…b8e1backed Under1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205841.4%24 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Over45c1,683$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.463545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under50c1,600$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.621,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over46c1,581$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.285,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x677e…4a1fbacked Under1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511328.3%32 W · 81 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Under38c1,454$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.358833%29 W · 59 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under64c1,367$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.358,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under51c1,357$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.042,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Under38c1,318$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.1410128.7%29 W · 72 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under52c1,190$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.693458.8%20 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+22%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Under1c1,154$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.821938.8%85 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over43c1,103$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.249714.4%14 W · 83 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-47.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Under55c1,100$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60510364.1%66 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick69cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf374…0178backed Under41c1,077$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.52560%3 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick28cpaid+246.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under42c952.63$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.938928.1%25 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22fe…92c1backed Under46c933.13$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.791631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Over78c566.07$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.5415768.2%107 W · 50 L+21.8wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+37.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Under62c548.39$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3406555.4%36 W · 29 L+8.0wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+28.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under43c535.16$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.995837.9%22 W · 36 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Under55c527.05$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.882025%5 W · 15 L-5.5wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-52%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under9c472$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.61915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-64.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under40c411.1$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.4345746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…9507backed Under55c400$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2205251.9%27 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under71c394.45$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2803265.6%21 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7245…4b00backed Under36c365.26$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.934542.2%19 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3d0…2fefbacked Over75c309.01$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.75850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-27.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under53c302.55$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.355042%21 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over77c285.03$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.0882434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over52c275.99$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.135046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over53c251.35$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.5651945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over61c240.54$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.6629047.6%138 W · 152 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over66c202.14$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.151750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over73c186$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5589846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under20c185.81$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7231136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Over72c185$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.619053.2%101 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4cd…c041backed Under18c179.69$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.964353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed Over59c166.67$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.337723.4%18 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick23cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5452…d12ebacked Under37c161.46$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.161650%8 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4abb…d858backed Over63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.732972.4%21 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under57c154.94$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.5940451.2%207 W · 197 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over68c150.14$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.11,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over52c146$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.441,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfb3…f890backed Under64c144.1$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.545757.9%33 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0011…4333backed Over77c129.2$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.234965.3%32 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under50c110$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5517852.8%94 W · 84 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…bf6cbacked Over45c102.18$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.251573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+31.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x156e…cf6fbacked Over45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554045%18 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca75…05a6backed Under43c80.23$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.233542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc046…d8f0backed Under40c72.33$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.064934.7%17 W · 32 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Over58c71.45$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1514540%58 W · 87 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ea8…b821backed Under18c62.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.256225.8%16 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+118.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3d…5fcfbacked Under51c62.5$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.882227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2221…ec1bbacked Over63c60.32$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc0c1…dc25backed Over46c59.69$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.261080%8 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+40.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over31c59.47$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7785220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe0ff…50cbbacked Over78c57.69$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.69475%3 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick78cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2cf…65fdbacked Over69c57.64$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.64580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd924…7bc2backed Over44c56.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8210044%44 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under66c54.02$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.795155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under66c54.01$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.760156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a34…a28bbacked Under55c49.31$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.321850%9 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x947d…dff0backed Over45c42.55$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.44456.8%25 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb284…b1fbbacked Under42c39.15$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.311861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+21%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56d8…f6abbacked Under52c38.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.76650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83de…89c6backed Under45c37.89$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171957.9%11 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x635b…2bdbbacked Over69c36.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.45683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+57.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5974…5c32backed Under56c34.82$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.51973.7%14 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9d7…fcbbbacked Under38c34.62$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.296350.8%32 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50b5…cb8cbacked Over69c34.25$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.62366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa474…425bbacked Over62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.262100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+43.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under48c31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.793,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Over67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8519963.8%127 W · 72 L+19.3wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+23.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6b25…7a69backed Over62c27.05$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.28771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked Over45c26.09$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.359446.8%44 W · 50 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under66c24$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.941262.1%256 W · 156 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under56c21.07$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7472350.5%365 W · 358 L-24.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Under61c21.04$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7819349.2%95 W · 98 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa991…0935backed Over57c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.674281%34 W · 8 L+12.2wins+0.29per pick52cpaid+66.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under67c17.6$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7163061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ac…65a8backed Over66c15.37$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-49.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.