South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bd1ae2368784b77139ee9b8884896d003a1710e9df00e8913cd431e7181958b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,587
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,428
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,587 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Over | 45c | 5,210$2,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,868.6 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Over | 53c | 4,030$2,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,877.78 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 55c | 3,938$2,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,153.44 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Under | 40c | 3,175$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.2 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Under | 12c | 2,727$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.9 | 110 | 25.5%28 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Under | 27c | 2,432$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.13 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked Under | 9c | 2,418$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.23 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 29c | 2,126$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.56 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Under | 56c | 2,107$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.38 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bf…b8e1backed Under | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Over | 45c | 1,683$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.46 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 50c | 1,600$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.62 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 1,581$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.28 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…4a1fbacked Under | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 113 | 28.3%32 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked Under | 38c | 1,454$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.35 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 1,367$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.35 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 51c | 1,357$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.04 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed Under | 38c | 1,318$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.14 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed Under | 52c | 1,190$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.69 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Under | 1c | 1,154$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 43c | 1,103$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.24 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 55c | 1,100$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 103 | 64.1%66 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…0178backed Under | 41c | 1,077$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 28cpaid | +246.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 42c | 952.63$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.93 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22fe…92c1backed Under | 46c | 933.13$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.79 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 78c | 566.07$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.54 | 157 | 68.2%107 W · 50 L | +21.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Under | 62c | 548.39$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…54b7backed Under | 43c | 535.16$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.99 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Under | 55c | 527.05$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.88 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.5wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under | 9c | 472$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 40c | 411.1$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.43 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…9507backed Under | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 71c | 394.45$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…4b00backed Under | 36c | 365.26$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.93 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d0…2fefbacked Over | 75c | 309.01$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Under | 53c | 302.55$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.35 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 77c | 285.03$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.08 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 52c | 275.99$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.1 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 53c | 251.35$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.56 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 61c | 240.54$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.66 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 66c | 202.14$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.1 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 73c | 186$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.55 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 20c | 185.81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 72c | 185$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Under | 18c | 179.69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Over | 59c | 166.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d12ebacked Under | 37c | 161.46$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.16 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4abb…d858backed Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 57c | 154.94$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.59 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 68c | 150.14$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 52c | 146$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.44 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Under | 64c | 144.1$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.54 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Over | 77c | 129.2$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…bf6cbacked Over | 45c | 102.18$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed Under | 43c | 80.23$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…d8f0backed Under | 40c | 72.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 58c | 71.45$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 145 | 40%58 W · 87 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…b821backed Under | 18c | 62.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +118.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3d…5fcfbacked Under | 51c | 62.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2221…ec1bbacked Over | 63c | 60.32$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c1…dc25backed Over | 46c | 59.69$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.26 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 31c | 59.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.77 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ff…50cbbacked Over | 78c | 57.69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cf…65fdbacked Over | 69c | 57.64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Over | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 66c | 54.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 66c | 54.01$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked Under | 55c | 49.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…dff0backed Over | 45c | 42.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb284…b1fbbacked Under | 42c | 39.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…f6abbacked Under | 52c | 38.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…89c6backed Under | 45c | 37.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…2bdbbacked Over | 69c | 36.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Under | 56c | 34.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d7…fcbbbacked Under | 38c | 34.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b5…cb8cbacked Over | 69c | 34.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…425bbacked Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 48c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +19.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed Over | 62c | 27.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Over | 45c | 26.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 66c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 56c | 21.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 61c | 21.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Over | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 42 | 81%34 W · 8 L | +12.2wins | +0.29per pick | 52cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 67c | 17.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ac…65a8backed Over | 66c | 15.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 4.5this page
- Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 3.5Over won
- Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)CR Vasco da Gama won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-2.5)CR Vasco da Gama won
- Spread: Club Olimpia (-1.5)CR Vasco da Gama won
- Spread: Club Olimpia (-2.5)CR Vasco da Gama won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.