Movies · resolved market

Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 11m?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6279f99ada7633ee2fccef82d156cc6d5ed48206e3557413940a763306c48164

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 26, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $123,434
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $133,621

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,434 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Movies
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb028…8686backed Yes	73c	14,219$10,335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,884.5	236	39.8%94 W · 142 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dbe…e415backed No	2c	6,970$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.3	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe78…c533backed Yes	76c	5,383$4,117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,266.23	297	35.7%106 W · 191 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aeb…2729backed Yes	51c	4,773$2,416 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,356.75	187	46%86 W · 101 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-20%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5684…7874backed Yes	67c	4,732$3,177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,554.13	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x06dc…af59backed Yes	31c	4,444$1,399 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,045.41	260	41.2%107 W · 153 L	+15.4wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5ef…be38backed Yes	64c	4,056$2,591 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,465.35	60	28.3%17 W · 43 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes	54c	3,617$1,962 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,655.44	285	24.2%69 W · 216 L	-8.3wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5095…93eebacked Yes	68c	3,287$2,222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,065.14	296	42.6%126 W · 170 L	+22.9wins	+0.08per pick	35cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9199…dd2dbacked Yes	73c	2,805$2,045 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$760.3	327	39.1%128 W · 199 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ae7…3e12backed No	31c	2,274$704 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$703.91	51	51%26 W · 25 L	+9.3wins	+0.18per pick	33cpaid	+155.4%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0xdcc8…0a04backed No	32c	1,952$634 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$633.68	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6291…cc47backed No	35c	1,840$636 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$636.14	285	28.8%82 W · 203 L	-8.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes	65c	1,722$1,123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$598.88	118	25.4%30 W · 88 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked No	18c	1,671$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.84	48	8.3%4 W · 44 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-54%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bb8…69edbacked No	1c	1,311$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.11	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	5cpaid	+101.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	67c	800$534 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$266	473	28.3%134 W · 339 L	-32.8wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xca9c…7311backed Yes	63c	764$483 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280.69	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Yes	64c	740.29$476 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$264.08	264	31.1%82 W · 182 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb50…7bfcbacked No	55c	649.25$357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$356.84	133	37.6%50 W · 83 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x401e…6fc9backed Yes	70c	617$434 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.87	175	40%70 W · 105 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9906…c0aebacked Yes	54c	551.57$299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$253.02	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	30cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36c3…a901backed No	7c	550$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8374…9149backed No	29c	542.31$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.55	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfa6…4eb6backed No	33c	533.64$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176	28	21.4%6 W · 22 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-32%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes	68c	530.12$358 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.82	230	41.7%96 W · 134 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa935…9d16backed No	43c	520.66$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.4	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-2.5wins	-0.17per pick	30cpaid	-74.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed No	31c	517.19$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.26	58	48.3%28 W · 30 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed No	26c	415.52$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.63	105	49.5%52 W · 53 L	+6.5wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes	71c	408.55$290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.87	135	34.8%47 W · 88 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe423…2492backed No	47c	400$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bca…b60abacked Yes	55c	379.61$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.58	114	21.9%25 W · 89 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c26…6e31backed No	31c	325$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.89	167	41.9%70 W · 97 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6018…170cbacked Yes	59c	324.87$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.77	136	35.3%48 W · 88 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	44c	313.2$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.03	365	38.1%139 W · 226 L	-19.8wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a01…6397backed No	20c	300$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	45	53.3%24 W · 21 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc745…b952backed No	34c	297.03$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes	50c	279.06$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.66	47	21.3%10 W · 37 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes	53c	270$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.2	134	40.3%54 W · 80 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No	17c	255.04$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.49	484	14%68 W · 416 L	-39.3wins	-0.08per pick	22cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed No	7c	216$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.12	210	9.5%20 W · 190 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7dfa…73acbacked Yes	51c	215.6$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.55	108	27.8%30 W · 78 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x159e…050ebacked Yes	38c	215$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.64	66	30.3%20 W · 46 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79c1…497dbacked No	42c	200$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	131	30.5%40 W · 91 L	-7.2wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf00…0c1abacked No	24c	200$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-3.8wins	-0.38per pick	48cpaid	-72.2%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9739…159fbacked No	10c	200$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	121	4.1%5 W · 116 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-85%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed No	39c	195.52$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.39	208	41.8%87 W · 121 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc77b…a526backed Yes	40c	187.66$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.9	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No	41c	181.11$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.06	1,393	8%111 W · 1,282 L	-47.9wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No	50c	180.57$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.95	1,218	17.8%217 W · 1,001 L	-124.0wins	-0.10per pick	28cpaid	-50.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	70c	176.05$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.47	672	32%215 W · 457 L	+14.4wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-30%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked No	29c	170$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.3	55	18.2%10 W · 45 L	-7.5wins	-0.14per pick	32cpaid	-60.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb933…fb0abacked Yes	59c	151.35$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.06	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes	69c	150$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.5	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a26…5284backed Yes	76c	144.39$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.39	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fa6…16f9backed Yes	42c	140$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.4	150	54.7%82 W · 68 L	+30.5wins	+0.20per pick	34cpaid	+62.6%equal weight	69+0.17 edge/pick
0x72ab…1a3ebacked No	33c	131.41$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.66	136	50%68 W · 68 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-23%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3890…41a3backed No	27c	130$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.51	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.22per pick	47cpaid	-67.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Yes	35c	123.17$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.33	177	51.4%91 W · 86 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	45c	122$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.1	231	30.3%70 W · 161 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd4…c1c0backed Yes	41c	120$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.8	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-23%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4b…b93cbacked No	40c	116.5$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.65	58	31%18 W · 40 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked No	17c	113.84$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.89	170	10%17 W · 153 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x365b…9c42backed Yes	61c	112$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.53	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.39per pick	61cpaid	+63.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed No	16c	107$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.12	133	21.1%28 W · 105 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8a9…2948backed Yes	34c	100$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66	144	25.7%37 W · 107 L	+5.1wins	+0.04per pick	22cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	46c	98$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.57	870	33.3%290 W · 580 L	-77.0wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed No	14c	95$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.3	97	53.6%52 W · 45 L	+5.5wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf30f…a161backed Yes	67c	85.5$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.22	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No	46c	80$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.01	208	50%104 W · 104 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8a…96f6backed Yes	76c	78.72$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.19	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8443…94b3backed No	34c	73.52$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.93	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6680…c738backed Yes	69c	72.38$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.38	105	44.8%47 W · 58 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7d…1c5bbacked Yes	41c	64.93$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.31	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.6wins	+0.12per pick	49cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf08…cf97backed No	47c	59.99$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.16	66	19.7%13 W · 53 L	-14.5wins	-0.22per pick	42cpaid	-65%equal weight	32-0.16 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Yes	41c	58.54$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.54	40	55%22 W · 18 L	+4.6wins	+0.12per pick	43cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No	35c	58$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.14	220	30.5%67 W · 153 L	-13.6wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes	64c	56$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.4	151	49%74 W · 77 L	+10.6wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b36…473bbacked No	22c	54.55$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.22per pick	58cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7464…71cfbacked Yes	76c	53.97$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.01	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.12per pick	72cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed No	66c	53.73$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.46	45	55.6%25 W · 20 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa854…3856backed Yes	77c	50.98$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.58	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+39.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fec…728ebacked Yes	41c	50$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.5	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Yes	34c	50$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+2.8wins	+0.19per pick	28cpaid	+47.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9889…4839backed No	40c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.8wins	-0.36per pick	56cpaid	-75%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c1b…c826backed Yes	53c	50$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.5	41	31.7%13 W · 28 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	27cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73ee…1210backed Yes	56c	48.16$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.32	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa45…4bffbacked No	30c	48.02$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.3	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.23per pick	44cpaid	+73.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9507…7b04backed Yes	37c	46.02$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.99	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes	42c	44.84$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.02	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+1.9wins	+0.10per pick	37cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7ac…f0c1backed Yes	48c	41.99$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.84	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e6…d610backed Yes	34c	41.94$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.68	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.23per pick	27cpaid	+47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9b8…8363backed Yes	60c	41.67$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.67	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	28c	40$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.8	62	22.6%14 W · 48 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f72…2d55backed No	64c	40$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.64per pick	64cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1959…0b3fbacked Yes	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.2	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13b…0e2bbacked Yes	28c	40$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.6	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+1.7wins	+0.12per pick	45cpaid	+30.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2834…c196backed Yes	70c	36$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.74	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.30per pick	70cpaid	+42.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb25b…dd7fbacked Yes	57c	34.26$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.72	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.43per pick	57cpaid	+75.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0ac…990dbacked No	31c	33.25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.22	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 11m?this page
Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 14m?No won
Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 14m?No won
Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 11m?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event