Earnings · resolved market
Will AT&T (T) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf5b12b4593f1444d163af6ef1e1321fd1e759fd508416f1b647563513fa1c71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,176
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,176 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 32c | 1,356$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.88 | 332 | 25%83 W · 249 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 69c | 733.81$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.38 | 768 | 37.4%287 W · 481 L | +35.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 23c | 465.46$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.37 | 207 | 29.5%61 W · 146 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe382…f187backed No | 31c | 400.12$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -54%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 65c | 399.98$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.99 | 676 | 42.9%290 W · 386 L | -36.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x720e…17b0backed Yes | 78c | 256.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 25c | 254.92$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.8 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed No | 20c | 234.59$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.07 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed No | 32c | 191.03$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.57 | 203 | 31.5%64 W · 139 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 37c | 160$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.81 | 155 | 30.3%47 W · 108 L | -20.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…74dcbacked Yes | 80c | 151.25$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 16c | 150.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 69 | 14.5%10 W · 59 L | -8.8wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -62%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…4d00backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 213 | 57.3%122 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fe…4b2ebacked No | 29c | 140.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f4…bf68backed Yes | 74c | 134.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -8.2wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4670…5f1cbacked Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf847…507cbacked Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +104%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafd1…8f9cbacked Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked No | 33c | 120$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd305…4e8bbacked No | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…8eb7backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ae…ae32backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 107 | 21.5%23 W · 84 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc43…0305backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…e8c0backed No | 28c | 99.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 15cpaid | +142.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…e862backed No | 44c | 96.37$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 66c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa27d…13fbbacked Yes | 71c | 82.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked No | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa802…23dfbacked No | 20c | 73.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 108 | 21.3%23 W · 85 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0418…966ebacked Yes | 67c | 70$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe7…dbd6backed No | 21c | 68.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 306 | 15%46 W · 260 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc573…cdacbacked Yes | 73c | 54.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd5…9858backed No | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2455…a70fbacked Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 32 | 87.5%28 W · 4 L | +12.8wins | +0.40per pick | 48cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x63a4…9281backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3661…e41bbacked Yes | 79c | 49.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 80cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3c…0d25backed No | 31c | 49.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6b…0ad4backed No | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 73 | 20.5%15 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x583b…9249backed Yes | 79c | 46.2$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…fe0cbacked Yes | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3693…c9afbacked No | 47c | 40.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7042…f23cbacked No | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked Yes | 61c | 39.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…3f02backed Yes | 75c | 33.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf4…afb8backed No | 70c | 28.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 55c | 27.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x211f…8e0fbacked Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e9dcbacked Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c5…3533backed Yes | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…4419backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Yes | 78c | 24.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 78cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfac2…f35fbacked Yes | 78c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 73cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked Yes | 73c | 20.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ba…b924backed Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b97…36b7backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 87 | 72.4%63 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…990dbacked Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9369…c867backed Yes | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a3…dd7cbacked Yes | 79c | 15.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe746…728cbacked Yes | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf44…3829backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…1931backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.