Music · resolved market
Will Amy Allen win Songwriter of the Year, Non-Classical at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x715dc274a5c7adf3771646e36d5e3a8844163dc31e7f02331eb30d2b8108bf9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,680
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,680 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b44…264ebacked Yes | 80c | 10,945$8,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,205.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d08backed No | 36c | 9,616$3,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,456.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85be…5ec1backed No | 1c | 5,898$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 62c | 5,444$3,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,052.21 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -53%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…0213backed No | 17c | 3,454$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x926d…635ebacked Yes | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 6c | 2,799$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.81 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fb…4a87backed No | 40c | 2,046$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.28 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 63c | 1,876$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.49 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…043ebacked No | 34c | 1,327$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.46 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3050…352ebacked No | 1c | 1,119$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 74c | 881.91$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.32 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 63c | 668$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.06 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 38c | 662.97$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.56 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 66c | 532.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…eb64backed No | 41c | 489$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 58c | 420$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.4 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…2f7cbacked No | 38c | 420$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…d758backed No | 38c | 406.82$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c4…6537backed Yes | 65c | 384$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…9149backed No | 39c | 344$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.16 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…89a0backed Yes | 71c | 323$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed No | 39c | 296.08$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.47 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x227f…41e3backed Yes | 63c | 282$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…5536backed Yes | 58c | 267$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.4 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +189.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2721…325bbacked No | 15c | 264$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 56c | 260$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.12 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 37c | 255.02$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.86 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 61c | 248.73$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.79 | 391 | 16.1%63 W · 328 L | -44.4wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed No | 39c | 245$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.37 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed No | 36c | 224.11$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.68 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9c…6216backed Yes | 62c | 219.58$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.56 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked No | 39c | 190.39$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 29cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 17c | 169.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes | 65c | 142.31$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.81 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed Yes | 61c | 140.9$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.64 | 48 | 75%36 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 30c | 129.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd68c…255cbacked No | 33c | 124$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c7…aecebacked Yes | 67c | 124$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12cb…37c5backed No | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x269f…6417backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd96…406ebacked Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58a1…4ceebacked Yes | 72c | 97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 41c | 89.64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.35 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…fe06backed Yes | 62c | 83.72$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb2…c640backed No | 36c | 80.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 58c | 67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 55c | 59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 35c | 58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…d4cebacked Yes | 69c | 54.47$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x084f…8b8ebacked No | 39c | 51.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…990dbacked No | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 61c | 49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 42c | 45.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 37c | 39.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 105 | 17.1%18 W · 87 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…c5eabacked No | 34c | 32.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…9ed0backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b26…8612backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e88…63b9backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6658…8afdbacked Yes | 70c | 28.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Yes | 60c | 26.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 60c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf63…ff0bbacked Yes | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 73cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x714e…beeebacked Yes | 65c | 16.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 38cpaid | +176.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Amy Allen win Songwriter of the Year, Non-Classical at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?this page
- Will Edgar Barrera win Songwriter of the Year, Non-Classical at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Jessie Jo Dillon win Songwriter of the Year, Non-Classical at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Laura Veltz win Songwriter of the Year, Non-Classical at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will Tobias Jesso Jr. win Songwriter of the Year, Non-Classical at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.