Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Sparta Rotterdam end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5d530541321d949ed3c5f40dfb119231b1654faa4ff2c682a8c09f0882397d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,753
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,753 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Yes | 0c | 8,870$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 39c | 2,607$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.13 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 44c | 1,161$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.16 | 134 | 26.1%35 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 943.59$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.43 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes | 56c | 893.57$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.4 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 18c | 853.94$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.32 | 134 | 32.1%43 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 17c | 589.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.15 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 57c | 546.97$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.93 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 18c | 534.89$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.54 | 92 | 26.1%24 W · 68 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 36c | 528.78$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.11 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 32c | 508$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.56 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 67c | 489.22$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.7 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 76c | 438.99$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.54 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…d05ebacked Yes | 13c | 419.76$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 25c | 404.01$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.85 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9371…3aecbacked Yes | 6c | 383.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 30cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 19c | 267.46$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes | 32c | 237.59$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.03 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a75…e444backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Yes | 33c | 193.43$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.71 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1557…04afbacked Yes | 76c | 184.21$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 72c | 181.8$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 18c | 144.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Yes | 32c | 112.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -49%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 75c | 105.06$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2512…9030backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 25c | 91.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Yes | 37c | 86.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Yes | 38c | 80.1$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 33c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 25c | 65.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd40b…429abacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…94b8backed Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac2…bb88backed Yes | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes | 50c | 59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 153 | 61.4%94 W · 59 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 27c | 51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed No | 77c | 38.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x914d…1ce1backed Yes | 76c | 35.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 35c | 35.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 80c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0166…5994backed Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…8cffbacked No | 77c | 26.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +91.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…990dbacked Yes | 76c | 25.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -49%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Yes | 76c | 14.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Sparta Rotterdam end in a draw?this page
- Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-01-18?No won
- Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-01-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.