Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-01-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99c30af78d7527a7f753849744fbaf7e88c5d46ada9831e111fd914b4009bebd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,666
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $133,250
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,666 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x87c0…6660backed No | 0c | 10,997$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 36c | 8,861$3,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,158.05 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 30c | 7,310$2,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220.57 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked No | 1c | 7,275$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.42 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 74c | 7,200$5,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,867.23 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 67c | 4,637$3,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.35 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 27c | 3,679$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.53 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 12c | 3,550$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,123.98 | 126 | 13.5%17 W · 109 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 52c | 3,320$1,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.67 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 39c | 2,086$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.25 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 47c | 2,028$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.7 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 28c | 1,674$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.86 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00af…626bbacked Yes | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 17c | 1,249$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.84 | 134 | 32.1%43 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 75c | 1,092$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.64 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 14c | 1,062$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.88 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 13c | 853$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.11 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 26c | 769.23$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.1 | 134 | 26.1%35 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 27c | 738.07$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.27 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 17c | 725.62$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.62 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 13c | 631.71$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.69 | 92 | 26.1%24 W · 68 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…a26fbacked No | 59c | 600.4$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 73c | 560.5$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.42 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 33c | 339.51$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.04 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 17c | 339.25$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…6934backed Yes | 55c | 310.57$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.83 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cb…c61ebacked No | 59c | 305.92$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.49 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes | 75c | 293.86$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.22 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked No | 28c | 285.83$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.57 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 14c | 280.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.08 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a09…3c83backed Yes | 73c | 274.04$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.04 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…bb08backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked No | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1324…aa38backed Yes | 38c | 231.71$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 22c | 229.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e6…7bf4backed No | 59c | 203.95$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.33 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Yes | 39c | 201.61$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 11c | 190.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.11 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 13c | 188.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.71 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9371…3aecbacked No | 10c | 177.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 30cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…535dbacked Yes | 80c | 175.53$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked No | 31c | 162.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed No | 44c | 158.29$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.96 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…01eebacked No | 64c | 156$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.54 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40ef…10ebbacked No | 53c | 151.41$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 15c | 150$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d9d7backed No | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Yes | 17c | 146.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.66 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 32c | 146.1$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed No | 15c | 135$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71d…3f27backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 38c | 121.38$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.12 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 12c | 120.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.02 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94f9…26afbacked No | 13c | 115.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5212…29c7backed No | 62c | 112.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2512…9030backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…4426backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.6 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc61f…f55bbacked Yes | 70c | 98.66$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05e…180bbacked No | 31c | 89.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad0…cdc2backed No | 62c | 85.84$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Yes | 14c | 82.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.64 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 54c | 81.72$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.93 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed No | 31c | 77.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked No | 64c | 77.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked No | 63c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd40b…429abacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 46c | 48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 61c | 47.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Yes | 32c | 45.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5305…57e8backed No | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 68c | 38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Yes | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Yes | 75c | 30.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92e6…8222backed No | 59c | 29.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked No | 64c | 29.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a11…de7cbacked Yes | 40c | 28.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 68c | 23.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 153 | 71.9%110 W · 43 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc92…6564backed Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 75c | 17.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-01-18?this page
- Will Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Sparta Rotterdam end in a draw?No won
- Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-01-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.