Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-01-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x454f6fbbe02b0fa05d8ccd409eb96bdb4f1836c7bb59a9bf6ea55382a4ed8c7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,857
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,857 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 62c | 3,225$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.5 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed No | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bb…c8acbacked Yes | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 17c | 1,249$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.85 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…8793backed Yes | 38c | 1,246$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.69 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed No | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 949.37$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.81 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 58c | 418.45$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.95 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 344.2$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.63 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 57c | 293.61$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.5 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 38c | 266.6$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.31 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 39c | 256.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.57 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 45c | 225.45$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed No | 38c | 161.7$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.5 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 63c | 157.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61a3…b1e5backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6b…5263backed Yes | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa785…acb6backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 37c | 131.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…2277backed Yes | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2512…9030backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 79c | 98.75$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 74c | 83.13$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Yes | 38c | 65.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 216 | 44.4%96 W · 120 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f4…3c57backed Yes | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 62c | 33.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 68c | 32.45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…990dbacked Yes | 61c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -49%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 66 | 16.7%11 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 55c | 27.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 58c | 21.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 56c | 20.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…bb19backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-01-18?this page
- Will Kocaelispor vs. Trabzonspor end in a draw?No won
- Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-01-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.