Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6cf7b8fc6fd3bc07e018f56e817e3bf8196389ecbf71feabbd5e0547a27941d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,459
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Yes | 39c | 399.28$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.23 | 381 | 38.6%147 W · 234 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…0af7backed No | 76c | 302.63$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.98 | 328 | 72%236 W · 92 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 58c | 265.37$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.17 | 895 | 44.7%400 W · 495 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…8210backed Yes | 42c | 253.74$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.63 | 541 | 54%292 W · 249 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb501…9a53backed Yes | 46c | 229.59$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.28 | 175 | 36%63 W · 112 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 26c | 193.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 72c | 175.54$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 62c | 169.41$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 42c | 148.09$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.17 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 31c | 142.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.77 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 56c | 131$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.74 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…5577backed Yes | 44c | 130$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.14 | 250 | 38%95 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 45c | 130$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 56c | 124$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked No | 57c | 100.41$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.02 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 42c | 98.44$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 63c | 96.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cb…015fbacked Yes | 29c | 95.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 200 | 27.5%55 W · 145 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed No | 65c | 94.4$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.01 | 212 | 68.4%145 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 52c | 93$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.86 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 68c | 90.25$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 40c | 88.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa138…7a9bbacked Yes | 36c | 83.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -4.5wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 67c | 79.31$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e1…c152backed No | 56c | 76.04$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.46 | 202 | 31.2%63 W · 139 L | +22.2wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 47c | 70.84$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 74c | 68.85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…f1f5backed Yes | 28c | 65.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 244 | 34.4%84 W · 160 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 31c | 65.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe05b…6d6ebacked Yes | 43c | 65.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…7c3abacked Yes | 40c | 62.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 200 | 37%74 W · 126 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a17…d13ebacked Yes | 33c | 62.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 72c | 61.7$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 46c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 35c | 59.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 59c | 59.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 55c | 59.05$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 36c | 57.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4876…22e2backed Yes | 54c | 56.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 51c | 55.17$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…a936backed Yes | 44c | 54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 667 | 58%387 W · 280 L | +48.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 51c | 53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…60e9backed Yes | 44c | 52.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 26c | 52.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb051…9bfbbacked Yes | 32c | 51.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…bf91backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 42c | 47.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b72…dc2ebacked No | 64c | 45.81$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 284 | 41.5%118 W · 166 L | -18.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 69c | 43.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…33b5backed No | 71c | 41.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 64c | 40.79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed Yes | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 286 | 49.3%141 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5068…1ffabacked No | 63c | 39.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked No | 63c | 39.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 688 | 67.2%462 W · 226 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3972…a677backed No | 56c | 36.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 817 | 56.4%461 W · 356 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 31c | 36.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed Yes | 32c | 36.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 54c | 34.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 35c | 34.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…ccddbacked No | 59c | 33.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…deeabacked No | 66c | 32.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 1,072 | 36.6%392 W · 680 L | +25.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 64c | 32.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 33c | 31.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 57c | 31.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 481 | 49.5%238 W · 243 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 78c | 31.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x888d…ff8fbacked No | 67c | 30.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 42c | 27.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed No | 62c | 27.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +20.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b18…2639backed Yes | 44c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 438 | 42%184 W · 254 L | -14.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 57c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…7a24backed No | 70c | 25.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1ba2backed Yes | 77c | 24.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb5…9400backed No | 57c | 24.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 527 | 58.8%310 W · 217 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked No | 45c | 24.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 270 | 50.4%136 W · 134 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 63c | 24.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eab…2caabacked Yes | 46c | 24.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 445 | 67%298 W · 147 L | +17.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb423…c178backed No | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 268 | 61.6%165 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41fa…7cc4backed No | 66c | 20.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 792 | 55.2%437 W · 355 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5d…3384backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 282 | 70.2%198 W · 84 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked No | 55c | 19.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 5?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 88°F or higher on June 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on June 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on June 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on June 5?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 5?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.