Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on June 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e78337d5ea4dc6672e4e869cb604640f98a04d4df0f1617704a7a7029443551
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,447
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,447 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xab36…38dabacked No | 69c | 715.62$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.78 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 49c | 499.89$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.99 | 895 | 44.7%400 W · 495 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 21c | 416.21$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.65 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 77c | 327.37$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.35 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 23c | 256.21$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.04 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 35c | 213.02$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.37 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5c…a240backed Yes | 47c | 182.41$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.7 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x726e…aafbbacked Yes | 46c | 182.41$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.22 | 232 | 69%160 W · 72 L | +23.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…0cf2backed Yes | 47c | 182.41$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.7 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 11c | 140.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.18 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 79c | 133.66$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.97 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 60c | 114$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.22 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 50c | 112.89$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.68 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xedba…002dbacked No | 77c | 110.26$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.71 | 96 | 79.2%76 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3b…957bbacked No | 53c | 101.49$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.16 | 370 | 56.5%209 W · 161 L | +31.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 51c | 100.11$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.53 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0f…9a05backed No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 206 | 31.1%64 W · 142 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 57c | 93$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.78 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed Yes | 23c | 89.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.06 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 44c | 88.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed Yes | 24c | 83.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.32 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…91e2backed No | 69c | 81.32$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.96 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 76c | 81.01$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 69c | 80$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.29 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 80c | 79.49$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.52 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 75c | 78.04$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.43 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…33b5backed No | 68c | 76.77$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 40c | 75.8$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.27 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 63c | 74.88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 78c | 72$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.51 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 80c | 71.92$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.53 | 421 | 60.6%255 W · 166 L | -25.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 80c | 71.05$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 32c | 68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked Yes | 26c | 67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.48 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 39c | 65.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.37 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed Yes | 72c | 64.36$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed Yes | 24c | 62.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.49 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…f1f5backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 244 | 34.4%84 W · 160 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9caa…1a3fbacked Yes | 54c | 59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d65…2d2bbacked Yes | 26c | 57.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…a936backed Yes | 30c | 54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 667 | 58%387 W · 280 L | +48.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…7c3abacked Yes | 38c | 52.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 200 | 37%74 W · 126 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…3d88backed No | 72c | 52$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 478 | 66.5%318 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…bf91backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 48c | 49.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 25c | 49.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.04 | 421 | 48%202 W · 219 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 27c | 49.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.79 | 481 | 49.5%238 W · 243 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 22c | 46.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 25c | 46.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 25c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked No | 79c | 44.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 688 | 67.2%462 W · 226 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 23c | 43.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.54 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked No | 80c | 43.73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 132 | 74.2%98 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed No | 79c | 42.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +20.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22d7…608dbacked No | 79c | 41.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9e…8d54backed No | 78c | 41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 276 | 69.2%191 W · 85 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…55bfbacked No | 80c | 40$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 83 | 85.5%71 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 78cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 26c | 39.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 28c | 39.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5239…4134backed Yes | 50c | 37.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 84 | 66.7%56 W · 28 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +36%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5068…1ffabacked No | 79c | 35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 32c | 34.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…ccddbacked No | 77c | 33.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13bc…f77ebacked Yes | 40c | 32.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cff…468bbacked No | 60c | 29.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 162 | 63%102 W · 60 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 39c | 28.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b72…dc2ebacked No | 56c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 284 | 41.5%118 W · 166 L | -18.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 49c | 25.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 926 | 2.5%23 W · 903 L | -379.9wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 6-0.40 edge/pick |
| 0xd670…1e02backed No | 79c | 25.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 222 | 65.8%146 W · 76 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 66c | 25.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…7a24backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 50c | 24.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ed…9d98backed No | 62c | 24.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 822 | 68.7%565 W · 257 L | +72.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 80c | 24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 1,313 | 76.1%999 W · 314 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Yes | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 270 | 50.4%136 W · 134 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd5…6b5cbacked No | 64c | 23.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 76c | 20.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked No | 74c | 20.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,036 | 68.6%711 W · 325 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5d…3384backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 282 | 70.2%198 W · 84 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x599f…3317backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 125 | 78.4%98 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x407e…5bf0backed No | 76c | 19.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…8c1bbacked No | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 120 | 70.8%85 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 77c | 17.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 503 | 73.2%368 W · 135 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ad…0cf2backed No | 79c | 14.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…85ddbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fd…1902backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on June 5?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 88°F or higher on June 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on June 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on June 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 5?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.