Cricket · resolved market
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indians - Completed match?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4281f0b7460798437a0062620d62b03cf90033b839b916edf36894e3b514df3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,615
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,944
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,615 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed Yes | 59c | 1,900$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.76 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed No | 12c | 1,615$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.75 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…a8b6backed No | 50c | 1,196$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.17 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ad…31e6backed Yes | 64c | 828.45$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.62 | 121 | 58.7%71 W · 50 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacfb…9cc9backed No | 14c | 675.78$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.78 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02c5…e08dbacked No | 26c | 587.77$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.09 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a7…569ebacked No | 40c | 442.9$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.83 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x027c…b158backed No | 15c | 293.61$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked Yes | 64c | 288.01$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.52 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0563…340dbacked No | 45c | 280.67$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.37 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 15c | 256.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.93 | 185 | 41.6%77 W · 108 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a17…d13ebacked No | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 38c | 242$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.05 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 6c | 202.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 184 | 19.6%36 W · 148 L | -25.2wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…4b30backed No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5986…73dcbacked Yes | 58c | 170.35$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.35 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8e…1d33backed Yes | 55c | 119.5$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.65 | 270 | 54.4%147 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0213…ae17backed No | 45c | 107.7$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd297…2919backed No | 34c | 103.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Yes | 60c | 101.64$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | +16.9wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked No | 41c | 94.77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -7.8wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Yes | 66c | 94.13$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b20…e938backed No | 37c | 91.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf5…3ea3backed No | 42c | 81.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 15c | 64.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 164 | 16.5%27 W · 137 L | -22.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0603…8f62backed No | 19c | 59.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3c13backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f07…b0d3backed No | 41c | 48.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b6…3f0ebacked No | 48c | 42.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -59%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f7…baaebacked No | 41c | 42.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0c…ca14backed Yes | 57c | 37.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +12.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x27e7…643fbacked No | 37c | 33.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bb…f9c0backed Yes | 49c | 31.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed No | 37c | 29.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 130 | 40.8%53 W · 77 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18fc…2f91backed No | 47c | 21.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed01…b01ebacked Yes | 67c | 21.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indians - Completed match?this page
- Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai IndiansRajasthan Royals won
- Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indians - Who wins the toss?Mumbai Indians won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.