Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 18-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e911d68adf997485f6fe35e66634bcf833c434cd4c4d9ebcc5013bf51ab7ea8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $184,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $183,320
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77eb…9d5cbacked Yes | 41c | 8,509$3,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,488.69 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1d…d0fabacked No | 78c | 8,376$6,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.06 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3379…f0b4backed Yes | 27c | 7,711$2,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,064.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f1…1c00backed Yes | 5c | 3,702$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.06 | 78 | 6.4%5 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 4c | 3,461$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…a403backed Yes | 7c | 3,416$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.42 | 62 | 0%0 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 5c | 3,025$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.34 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 5c | 2,920$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.44 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 3c | 2,821$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.21 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked No | 74c | 2,709$1,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.86 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…a577backed Yes | 6c | 2,369$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +7.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +241.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7b16…4ae8backed Yes | 3c | 2,339$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.34 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 17c | 2,073$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.38 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aea…10c9backed Yes | 6c | 1,801$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…4484backed No | 65c | 1,550$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.3 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd0…a85bbacked Yes | 12c | 1,327$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.92 | 113 | 28.3%32 W · 81 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc086…b1afbacked Yes | 17c | 1,158$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 6c | 1,042$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.64 | 212 | 6.6%14 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc40…56a3backed No | 70c | 929.12$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.34 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53be…5040backed No | 66c | 907.1$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.83 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a9…0d8bbacked Yes | 32c | 846.4$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.09 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…ed1fbacked No | 62c | 819.99$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.4 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f6…a293backed No | 77c | 799.99$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a1…2842backed Yes | 4c | 754.72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 148 | 3.4%5 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1332…2b23backed Yes | 28c | 726.76$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x207c…52fabacked Yes | 5c | 667.18$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab7…d144backed Yes | 10c | 655.56$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.28 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 580.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…c9bfbacked Yes | 5c | 556.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6e…e39dbacked No | 76c | 515.7$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.7 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe555…a91dbacked Yes | 29c | 500$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.3 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…5661backed Yes | 35c | 490$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.5 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc250…8d6ebacked No | 79c | 436.47$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.66 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 73cpaid | -12%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 64c | 419.74$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.95 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf440…b938backed Yes | 10c | 419.39$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03cf…f27dbacked Yes | 20c | 418.28$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.48 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +5.3wins | +0.23per pick | 38cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc7…3976backed No | 55c | 399.98$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…5481backed Yes | 3c | 385.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…0ff2backed Yes | 4c | 350.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 104 | 3.8%4 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6685…0622backed No | 56c | 339.64$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.44 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa29b…a0b8backed Yes | 49c | 296.14$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.11 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb42c…c27bbacked Yes | 6c | 291.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 99 | 4%4 W · 95 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…9bbebacked Yes | 15c | 282.51$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2554…bb52backed Yes | 15c | 266.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf194…feaabacked No | 40c | 259.92$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.96 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd14…1c17backed Yes | 69c | 232.45$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.09 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4d…78f5backed No | 54c | 228.88$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.23 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa641…0866backed Yes | 16c | 219.07$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 23c | 216.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 136 | 24.3%33 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…5f77backed No | 59c | 210.18$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.99 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5f95…01a8backed Yes | 49c | 209.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.7 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dae…a48ebacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…6feabacked No | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…bb7ebacked Yes | 57c | 174.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 9c | 172.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 120 | 12.5%15 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 39c | 164.13$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.43 | 131 | 17.6%23 W · 108 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9e…11d4backed Yes | 20c | 163.72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +7.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9574…2e6ebacked Yes | 8c | 162.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fff…7500backed No | 60c | 154.69$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.65 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe552…b192backed Yes | 14c | 149.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34d1…26dcbacked Yes | 24c | 142.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5490…1806backed Yes | 8c | 130$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33fb…897cbacked Yes | 15c | 122.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…45b8backed Yes | 16c | 121.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…0a45backed Yes | 48c | 115.93$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.17 | 99 | 27.3%27 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc887…869bbacked No | 55c | 110$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68ed…fbddbacked Yes | 45c | 110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…2065backed Yes | 14c | 105.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x547d…ea58backed Yes | 34c | 105$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb462…fc89backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…8003backed Yes | 12c | 99.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc1…50dbbacked Yes | 27c | 99.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce7b…7677backed Yes | 19c | 94.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…20f7backed No | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 100 | 67%67 W · 33 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 15c | 91.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a17…d13ebacked Yes | 68c | 81.8$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.36 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5b…dca3backed Yes | 28c | 77.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa4…84b6backed No | 39c | 70.53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b66…95c0backed Yes | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d4…f1f5backed No | 78c | 54.75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x628c…c651backed No | 51c | 52.82$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde75…10d6backed No | 70c | 42.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x227d…1a26backed Yes | 32c | 40.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1184…a836backed No | 75c | 40.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc0…35dcbacked No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ab…2f10backed Yes | 45c | 39.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44be…76b1backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd94…1a13backed Yes | 62c | 36.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95aa…269cbacked Yes | 28c | 36.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…7816backed Yes | 62c | 35.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2590…8fa2backed No | 40c | 33.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe61…e9c2backed No | 47c | 32.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8378…0090backed Yes | 65c | 30.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…7d9abacked No | 73c | 30.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 69cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2c…465dbacked Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d75…b263backed No | 76c | 26.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5239…b328backed No | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 67cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4577…6560backed No | 54c | 24.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 18-24?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 May 18-24?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 May 18-24?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 18-24?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 18-24?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 18-24?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 18-24?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 May 18-24?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 18-24?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 18-24?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 18-24?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 18-24?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 18-24?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.