Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 18-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07857c6044c440560c3dadc25f5c50168b130a12e14b43abcbd95f80457dc5d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $277,542
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $268,026
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $277,542 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda6b…a403backed Yes | 3c | 64,393$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,717.17 | 62 | 0%0 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 23c | 11,748$2,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,644.93 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4d…78f5backed Yes | 6c | 9,274$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.15 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e74…6d51backed Yes | 3c | 8,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe190…0a5dbacked Yes | 4c | 6,839$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.4 | 103 | 1.9%2 W · 101 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 73c | 5,369$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.61 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 72c | 4,820$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.91 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed Yes | 2c | 3,811$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30cb…b901backed No | 66c | 3,208$2,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.95 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Yes | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.97 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd8…d4e7backed Yes | 3c | 2,547$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…5295backed Yes | 2c | 2,008$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 227 | 0.9%2 W · 225 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed Yes | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 138 | 63%87 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5182…0120backed No | 61c | 2,000$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +4.1wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…8003backed Yes | 2c | 1,864$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc8…91a1backed Yes | 2c | 1,665$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf54c…e6ccbacked Yes | 2c | 1,600$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84a1…2842backed Yes | 2c | 1,519$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 148 | 3.4%5 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9574…2e6ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,497$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.69 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 8c | 1,200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 212 | 6.6%14 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…8748backed Yes | 20c | 1,150$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.99 | 71 | 12.7%9 W · 62 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f1…1c00backed Yes | 2c | 1,025$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 78 | 6.4%5 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…0ff2backed Yes | 2c | 975.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 104 | 3.8%4 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb42c…c27bbacked Yes | 2c | 973.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 99 | 4%4 W · 95 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ab…2f10backed No | 64c | 909.06$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03cf…f27dbacked Yes | 3c | 800$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +5.3wins | +0.23per pick | 38cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa772…05efbacked No | 68c | 750$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x049b…5a12backed Yes | 4c | 737.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 3cpaid | +403.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 1c | 675.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd980…5be0backed Yes | 38c | 606.89$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.41 | 112 | 10.7%12 W · 100 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…fe61backed No | 65c | 600$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8577…0eb3backed Yes | 25c | 551.59$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…5661backed No | 74c | 536.91$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.6 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ef…04b0backed No | 73c | 520.21$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.26 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb78…99c2backed Yes | 2c | 515.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa29d…6d1ebacked Yes | 20c | 499.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6685…0622backed No | 59c | 422.57$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.62 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…1f6fbacked Yes | 30c | 399.98$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 359.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a74…ae2bbacked Yes | 3c | 351.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x547d…ea58backed Yes | 16c | 337$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.92 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 33c | 334.24$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.95 | 131 | 17.6%23 W · 108 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e87…9a3fbacked Yes | 13c | 310$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a16…7439backed Yes | 40c | 305.04$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.02 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Yes | 31c | 299.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed No | 71c | 282.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.27 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815d…8648backed Yes | 31c | 270$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.1 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaecd…27abbacked No | 62c | 242$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.96 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2af6…e0c7backed No | 68c | 240.82$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…b520backed No | 68c | 214.2$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.09 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x628c…c651backed Yes | 39c | 213.43$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9f…c1a4backed Yes | 18c | 205.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x726f…d8e7backed Yes | 30c | 178.35$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.21 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfa…9bb4backed Yes | 34c | 175.76$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55d…7484backed Yes | 32c | 170$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe43…3e8dbacked Yes | 11c | 167.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f95…01a8backed Yes | 42c | 165$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a31…7908backed No | 70c | 163.69$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac9d…f43dbacked No | 63c | 154.46$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a9…0d8bbacked Yes | 39c | 144.32$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.28 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d4…f1f5backed Yes | 32c | 133.25$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87d…8cafbacked No | 55c | 127.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.38 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3a…3b17backed Yes | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 30cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…0ac6backed No | 64c | 110$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xef39…423bbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9785…2c5abacked Yes | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…13bfbacked No | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 181 | 62.4%113 W · 68 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c3…d0efbacked Yes | 37c | 96.43$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.68 | 84 | 67.9%57 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…9bbebacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d9…a756backed No | 65c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bb…cb45backed No | 71c | 90$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe52d…3728backed Yes | 35c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…1517backed No | 66c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd43…0699backed No | 71c | 90$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4043…19cfbacked No | 68c | 90$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eae…ef73backed No | 73c | 87.4$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b16…4ae8backed No | 69c | 83.56$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7983…c138backed Yes | 29c | 80.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcb…0521backed No | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1f…3537backed No | 68c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa324…c18abacked Yes | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1184…a836backed No | 64c | 78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…20f7backed No | 70c | 71.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 100 | 67%67 W · 33 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f31…cb7cbacked Yes | 22c | 70.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…d082backed Yes | 36c | 66.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…2f4dbacked No | 69c | 65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…305dbacked Yes | 23c | 63.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb815…423abacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd143…83ecbacked Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 102 | 21.6%22 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…7816backed No | 66c | 60.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab7…d144backed Yes | 31c | 54.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 29c | 51.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa644…e875backed Yes | 41c | 48.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba22…4333backed Yes | 32c | 46.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5784…0830backed No | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc0…35dcbacked No | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc698…9a4cbacked Yes | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf76b…55eabacked No | 71c | 39.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6335…9d81backed No | 65c | 39.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 18-24?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 May 18-24?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 May 18-24?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 18-24?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 18-24?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 18-24?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 18-24?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 18-24?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 May 18-24?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 18-24?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 18-24?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 18-24?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 18-24?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.